Current polling:
Moving average of latest polls for constituency vote:| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 53.32% |
| Labour | 21.81% |
| Conservative | 14.76% |
| Liberal Democrat | 5.29% |
| Green | 2.10% |
| UKIP | 1.60% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.68% |
| CISTA | 0.22% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.17% |
| TUSC | 0.12% |
| Solidarity | 0.02% |
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 46.50% |
| Labour | 21.31% |
| Conservative | 14.44% |
| Green | 7.61% |
| Liberal Democrat | 5.69% |
| UKIP | 2.62% |
| Scottish Socialist | 1.26% |
| TUSC | 0.48% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.35% |
| Solidarity | 0.17% |
| BNP | 0.14% |
| CISTA | 0.12% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.12% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.12% |
Scotland Overall Summary:
Predicted outcome of Holyrood 2016 election given current polling:| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | Margo MacDonald | |
| Constituency Seats | 73 (+20) | 0 (-15) | 0 (-3) | 0 (-2) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 1 (-15) | 26 (+4) | 16 (+4) | 6 (+3) | 7 (+5) | 0 (-1) |
| Total Seats | 74 (+5) | 26 (-11) | 16 (+1) | 6 (+1) | 7 (+5) | 0 (-1) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Green | Liberal Democrat | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Linlithgow) |
Kezia Dugdale (Lothian list) |
Ruth Davidson (Lothian list) |
Alison Johnstone (Lothian list) |
Alex Cole-Hamilton (Lothian list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Eastern) |
Neil Findlay (Lothian list) |
Miles Briggs (Lothian list) |
Andy Wightman (Lothian list) |
Jim Hume (South Scotland list) |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Almond Valley) |
Jackie Baillie (West Scotland list) |
Jackson Carlaw (West Scotland list) |
Ross Greer (West Scotland list) |
Willie Rennie (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Pentlands) |
Neil Bibby (West Scotland list) |
Jamie Greene (West Scotland list) |
Mark Ruskell (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Jamie Stone (Highlands and Islands list) |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Midlothian North & Musselburgh) |
Mary Fee (West Scotland list) |
John Scott (South Scotland list) |
John Finnie (Highlands and Islands list) |
Kate Stephen (Highlands and Islands list) |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Central) |
Ken MacIntosh (West Scotland list) |
Oliver Mundell (South Scotland list) |
Maggie Chapman (North East Scotland list) |
Mike Rumbles (North East Scotland list) |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Western) |
Iain Gray (South Scotland list) |
Rachael Hamilton (South Scotland list) |
Patrick Harvie (Glasgow list) |
- |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Northern & Leith) |
Claudia Beamish (South Scotland list) |
Margaret Mitchell (Central Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Southern) |
Colin Smyth (South Scotland list) |
Murdo Fraser (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
- | - |
| 10 | SNP Candidate (Greenock & Inverclyde) |
Richard Leonard (Central Scotland list) |
Liz Smith (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
- | - |
| 11 | SNP Candidate (Cunninghame North) |
Monica Lennon (Central Scotland list) |
Douglas Ross (Highlands and Islands list) |
- | - |
| 12 | SNP Candidate (Renfrewshire South) |
Mark Griffin (Central Scotland list) |
Edward Mountain (Highlands and Islands list) |
- | - |
| 13 | SNP Candidate (Clydebank & Milngavie) |
Elaine Smith (Central Scotland list) |
Alex Johnstone (North East Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 14 | SNP Candidate (Cunninghame South) |
Craig Martin (Central Scotland list) |
Alexander Burnett (North East Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 15 | SNP Candidate (Paisley) |
Alex Rowley (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Ross Thomson (North East Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 16 | SNP Candidate (Renfrewshire North & West) |
Claire Baker (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Adam Tomkins (Glasgow list) |
- | - |
| 17 | SNP Candidate (Strathkelvin & Bearsden) |
Thomas Docherty (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
- | - | - |
| 18 | SNP Candidate (Eastwood) |
Rhoda Grant (Highlands and Islands list) |
- | - | - |
| 19 | SNP Candidate (Dumbarton) |
David Stewart (Highlands and Islands list) |
- | - | - |
| 20 | SNP Candidate (Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley) |
Jenny Marra (North East Scotland list) |
- | - | - |
| 21 | SNP Candidate (Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire) |
Lewis MacDonald (North East Scotland list) |
- | - | - |
| 22 | SNP Candidate (East Lothian) |
Anas Sarwar (Glasgow list) |
- | - | - |
| 23 | SNP Candidate (Dumfriesshire) |
Johann Lamont (Glasgow list) |
- | - | - |
| 24 | SNP Candidate (Clydesdale) |
James Kelly (Glasgow list) |
- | - | - |
| 25 | SNP Candidate (Galloway & West Dumfries) |
Pauline McNeill (Glasgow list) |
- | - | - |
| 26 | SNP Candidate (Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale) |
Bill Butler (Glasgow list) |
- | - | - |
| 27 | SNP Candidate (Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley) |
- | - | - | - |
| 28 | SNP Candidate (Ayr) |
- | - | - | - |
| 29 | SNP Candidate (Motherwell & Wishaw) |
- | - | - | - |
| 30 | SNP Candidate (Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse) |
- | - | - | - |
| 31 | SNP Candidate (Falkirk East) |
- | - | - | - |
| 32 | SNP Candidate (Coatbridge & Chryston) |
- | - | - | - |
| 33 | SNP Candidate (Falkirk West) |
- | - | - | - |
| 34 | SNP Candidate (Cumbernauld & Kilsyth) |
- | - | - | - |
| 35 | SNP Candidate (East Kilbride) |
- | - | - | - |
| 36 | SNP Candidate (Uddingston & Bellshill) |
- | - | - | - |
| 37 | SNP Candidate (Airdrie & Shotts) |
- | - | - | - |
| 38 | SNP Candidate (Mid Fife & Glenrothes) |
- | - | - | - |
| 39 | SNP Candidate (Kirkcaldy) |
- | - | - | - |
| 40 | SNP Candidate (Stirling) |
- | - | - | - |
| 41 | SNP Candidate (Cowdenbeath) |
- | - | - | - |
| 42 | SNP Candidate (North East Fife) |
- | - | - | - |
| 43 | SNP Candidate (Dunfermline) |
- | - | - | - |
| 44 | SNP Candidate (Perthshire South & Kinross-shire) |
- | - | - | - |
| 45 | SNP Candidate (Clackmannanshire & Dunblane) |
- | - | - | - |
| 46 | SNP Candidate (Perthshire North) |
- | - | - | - |
| 47 | SNP Candidate (Moray) |
- | - | - | - |
| 48 | SNP Candidate (Orkney Islands) |
- | - | - | - |
| 49 | SNP Candidate (Shetland Islands) |
- | - | - | - |
| 50 | SNP Candidate (Nah h-Eilanan an Iar) |
- | - | - | - |
| 51 | SNP Candidate (Caithness Sutherland & Ross) |
- | - | - | - |
| 52 | SNP Candidate (Argyll & Bute) |
- | - | - | - |
| 53 | SNP Candidate (Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch) |
- | - | - | - |
| 54 | SNP Candidate (Inverness & Nairn) |
- | - | - | - |
| 55 | SNP Candidate (Angus North & Mearns) |
- | - | - | - |
| 56 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeenshire East) |
- | - | - | - |
| 57 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeenshire West) |
- | - | - | - |
| 58 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeen South & North Kincardine) |
- | - | - | - |
| 59 | SNP Candidate (Angus South) |
- | - | - | - |
| 60 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeen Donside) |
- | - | - | - |
| 61 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeen Central) |
- | - | - | - |
| 62 | SNP Candidate (Dundee City East) |
- | - | - | - |
| 63 | SNP Candidate (Banffshire & Buchan Coast) |
- | - | - | - |
| 64 | SNP Candidate (Dundee City West) |
- | - | - | - |
| 65 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Pollok) |
- | - | - | - |
| 66 | SNP Candidate (Rutherglen) |
- | - | - | - |
| 67 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Kelvin) |
- | - | - | - |
| 68 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Cathcart) |
- | - | - | - |
| 69 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Anniesland) |
- | - | - | - |
| 70 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Shettleston) |
- | - | - | - |
| 71 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn) |
- | - | - | - |
| 72 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Provan) |
- | - | - | - |
| 73 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Southside) |
- | - | - | - |
| 74 | SNP candidate (Central Scotland list) |
- | - | - | - |
Central Scotland
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 9 (+3) | 0 (-3) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 1 (-2) | 5 (+2) | 1 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| Total Seats | 10 (+1) | 5 (-1) | 1 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Motherwell & Wishaw) |
Richard Leonard (Central Scotland list) |
Margaret Mitchell (Central Scotland list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse) |
Monica Lennon (Central Scotland list) |
- |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Falkirk East) |
Mark Griffin (Central Scotland list) |
- |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Coatbridge & Chryston) |
Elaine Smith (Central Scotland list) |
- |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Falkirk West) |
Craig Martin (Central Scotland list) |
- |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Cumbernauld & Kilsyth) |
- | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (East Kilbride) |
- | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Uddingston & Bellshill) |
- | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Airdrie & Shotts) |
- | - |
| 10 | SNP candidate (Central Scotland list) |
- | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Central Scotland constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 58.92% |
| Labour | 24.46% |
| Conservative | 9.75% |
| Liberal Democrat | 2.23% |
| Green | 2.23% |
| UKIP | 1.15% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Airdrie & Shotts | SNP (50.2%) | SNP (61.8%) |
| Coatbridge & Chryston | Labour (52.2%) | SNP (57.0%) |
| Cumbernauld & Kilsyth | SNP (53.8%) | SNP (63.6%) |
| East Kilbride | SNP (48.0%) | SNP (60.0%) |
| Falkirk East | SNP (50.8%) | SNP (61.8%) |
| Falkirk West | SNP (55.3%) | SNP (64.0%) |
| Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse | SNP (48.1%) | SNP (60.3%) |
| Motherwell & Wishaw | Labour (43.8%) | SNP (55.0%) |
| Uddingston & Bellshill | Labour (46.1%) | SNP (58.1%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Central Scotland regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 53.80% |
| Labour | 25.87% |
| Conservative | 8.72% |
| Green | 5.87% |
| UKIP | 2.92% |
| Liberal Democrat | 1.68% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.72% |
| Solidarity | 0.18% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 46.35% | 50.37% |
| Labour | 35.31% | 26.72% |
| Conservative | 6.37% | 7.92% |
| Green | 2.41% | 4.94% |
| Pensioners | 2.48% | 2.44% |
| UKIP | 0.54% | 2.19% |
| Liberal Democrat | 1.42% | 1.58% |
| Christian Party | 1.36% | 1.34% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.35% | 0.88% |
| Others | 0.81% | 0.80% |
| Independant | 0.35% | 0.35% |
| Solidarity | 0.24% | 0.23% |
| BNP | 0.95% | 0.17% |
| Socialist Labour | 1.06% | 0.07% |
Predicted Central Scotland additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Labour | Labour (Richard Leonard) |
| 2 | Labour | Labour (Monica Lennon) |
| 3 | SNP | Labour (Mark Griffin) |
| 4 | Conservative | Conservative (Margaret Mitchell) |
| 5 | Labour | Labour (Elaine Smith) |
| 6 | SNP | Labour (Craig Martin) |
| 7 | SNP | SNP |
Mid Scotland and Fife
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 9 (+1) | 0 (-1) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (-1) | 3 (n/c) | 2 (n/c) | 1 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| Total Seats | 9 (n/c) | 3 (-1) | 2 (n/c) | 1 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Green | Liberal Democrat | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Mid Fife & Glenrothes) |
Alex Rowley (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Murdo Fraser (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Mark Ruskell (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Willie Rennie (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Kirkcaldy) |
Claire Baker (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
Liz Smith (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
- | - |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Stirling) |
Thomas Docherty (Mid Scotland and Fife list) |
- | - | - |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Cowdenbeath) |
- | - | - | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (North East Fife) |
- | - | - | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Dunfermline) |
- | - | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Perthshire South & Kinross-shire) |
- | - | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Clackmannanshire & Dunblane) |
- | - | - | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Perthshire North) |
- | - | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Mid Scotland and Fife constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 54.29% |
| Labour | 21.78% |
| Conservative | 13.58% |
| Liberal Democrat | 6.48% |
| UKIP | 2.00% |
| Green | 1.52% |
| CISTA | 0.89% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Clackmannanshire & Dunblane | SNP (48.3%) | SNP (57.5%) |
| Cowdenbeath | Labour (46.5%) | SNP (54.5%) |
| Dunfermline | SNP (37.6%) | SNP (52.9%) |
| Kirkcaldy | SNP (45.2%) | SNP (56.7%) |
| Mid Fife & Glenrothes | SNP (52.3%) | SNP (59.1%) |
| North East Fife | SNP (37.2%) | SNP (50.4%) |
| Perthshire North | SNP (60.8%) | SNP (61.4%) |
| Perthshire South & Kinross-shire | SNP (51.5%) | SNP (57.2%) |
| Stirling | SNP (48.9%) | SNP (56.9%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Mid Scotland and Fife regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 49.02% |
| Labour | 21.05% |
| Conservative | 13.76% |
| Green | 6.75% |
| Liberal Democrat | 6.48% |
| UKIP | 2.08% |
| Socialist Labour | 1.10% |
| Solidarity | 0.56% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.12% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 45.20% | 46.31% |
| Labour | 25.03% | 19.78% |
| Conservative | 14.12% | 14.44% |
| Green | 4.23% | 6.74% |
| Liberal Democrat | 5.85% | 6.17% |
| UKIP | 1.10% | 2.50% |
| Pensioners | 1.59% | 1.48% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.69% | 0.59% |
| Independant | 0.57% | 0.53% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.32% | 0.52% |
| Solidarity | 0.08% | 0.32% |
| Christian Party | 0.30% | 0.28% |
| Others | 0.25% | 0.23% |
| BNP | 0.67% | 0.11% |
Predicted Mid Scotland and Fife additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Conservative | Labour (Alex Rowley) |
| 2 | Labour | Conservative (Murdo Fraser) |
| 3 | Labour | Labour (Claire Baker) |
| 4 | Conservative | Conservative (Liz Smith) |
| 5 | Labour | Green (Mark Ruskell) |
| 6 | Liberal Democrat | Labour (Thomas Docherty) |
| 7 | SNP | Liberal Democrat (Willie Rennie) |
Lothian
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | Margo MacDonald | |
| Constituency Seats | 9 (+1) | 0 (-1) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (n/c) | 2 (-1) | 2 (n/c) | 1 (+1) | 2 (+1) | 0 (-1) |
| Total Seats | 9 (+1) | 2 (-2) | 2 (n/c) | 1 (+1) | 2 (+1) | 0 (-1) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Green | Liberal Democrat | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Linlithgow) |
Kezia Dugdale (Lothian list) |
Ruth Davidson (Lothian list) |
Alison Johnstone (Lothian list) |
Alex Cole-Hamilton (Lothian list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Eastern) |
Neil Findlay (Lothian list) |
Miles Briggs (Lothian list) |
Andy Wightman (Lothian list) |
- |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Almond Valley) |
- | - | - | - |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Pentlands) |
- | - | - | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Midlothian North & Musselburgh) |
- | - | - | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Central) |
- | - | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Western) |
- | - | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Northern & Leith) |
- | - | - | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Edinburgh Southern) |
- | - | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Lothian constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 49.90% |
| Labour | 23.51% |
| Conservative | 15.50% |
| Liberal Democrat | 7.54% |
| Green | 3.60% |
| Scottish Christian | 1.88% |
| UKIP | 1.30% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Almond Valley | SNP (54.3%) | SNP (58.3%) |
| Edinburgh Central | SNP (32.7%) | SNP (47.1%) |
| Edinburgh Eastern | SNP (47.4%) | SNP (55.2%) |
| Edinburgh Northern & Leith | Labour (41.6%) | SNP (51.4%) |
| Edinburgh Pentlands | SNP (37.3%) | SNP (48.0%) |
| Edinburgh Southern | SNP (29.4%) | SNP (45.0%) |
| Edinburgh Western | SNP (35.8%) | SNP (48.8%) |
| Linlithgow | SNP (49.8%) | SNP (55.8%) |
| Midlothian North & Musselburgh | SNP (47.2%) | SNP (54.0%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Lothian regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 40.93% |
| Labour | 18.92% |
| Conservative | 13.54% |
| Green | 13.41% |
| Liberal Democrat | 9.91% |
| UKIP | 2.64% |
| TUSC | 0.63% |
| CISTA | 0.58% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.46% |
| Solidarity | 0.00% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 39.18% | 40.82% |
| Labour | 24.91% | 19.39% |
| Conservative | 11.66% | 13.47% |
| Green | 7.59% | 13.21% |
| Liberal Democrat | 5.50% | 7.90% |
| UKIP | 0.64% | 2.23% |
| Pensioners | 1.14% | 1.13% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.42% | 0.85% |
| Others | 0.44% | 0.44% |
| Christian Party | 0.32% | 0.32% |
| BNP | 0.70% | 0.12% |
| Solidarity | 0.12% | 0.07% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.59% | 0.04% |
| Margo MacDonald | 6.79% | 0.00% |
Predicted Lothian additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Labour | Labour (Kezia Dugdale) |
| 2 | Conservative | Conservative (Ruth Davidson) |
| 3 | Labour | Green (Alison Johnstone) |
| 4 | Green | Labour (Neil Findlay) |
| 5 | Margo MacDonald | Liberal Democrat (Alex Cole-Hamilton) |
| 6 | Labour | Conservative (Miles Briggs) |
| 7 | Conservative | Green (Andy Wightman) |
Highlands and Islands
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 8 (+2) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (-2) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (-3) | 2 (n/c) | 2 (n/c) | 2 (+2) | 1 (+1) |
| Total Seats | 8 (-1) | 2 (n/c) | 2 (n/c) | 2 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Moray) |
Rhoda Grant (Highlands and Islands list) |
Douglas Ross (Highlands and Islands list) |
Jamie Stone (Highlands and Islands list) |
John Finnie (Highlands and Islands list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Orkney Islands) |
David Stewart (Highlands and Islands list) |
Edward Mountain (Highlands and Islands list) |
Kate Stephen (Highlands and Islands list) |
- |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Shetland Islands) |
- | - | - | - |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Nah h-Eilanan an Iar) |
- | - | - | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Caithness Sutherland & Ross) |
- | - | - | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Argyll & Bute) |
- | - | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch) |
- | - | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Inverness & Nairn) |
- | - | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Highlands and Islands constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 57.12% |
| Labour | 16.28% |
| Conservative | 11.06% |
| Liberal Democrat | 9.22% |
| Scottish Christian | 4.35% |
| UKIP | 1.25% |
| Green | 1.13% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Argyll & Bute | SNP (50.6%) | SNP (58.7%) |
| Caithness Sutherland & Ross | SNP (48.4%) | SNP (60.2%) |
| Inverness & Nairn | SNP (51.5%) | SNP (59.9%) |
| Moray | SNP (58.8%) | SNP (62.1%) |
| Nah h-Eilanan an Iar | SNP (65.3%) | SNP (68.3%) |
| Orkney Islands | Liberal Democrat (35.7%) | SNP (40.4%) |
| Shetland Islands | Liberal Democrat (47.5%) | SNP (32.2%) |
| Skye, Lochaber & Badenoch | SNP (46.2%) | SNP (58.7%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Highlands and Islands regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 41.02% |
| Labour | 16.37% |
| Conservative | 12.13% |
| Liberal Democrat | 12.10% |
| Green | 11.14% |
| UKIP | 5.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 2.95% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| Solidarity | 0.00% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 47.53% | 42.77% |
| Labour | 14.46% | 13.33% |
| Conservative | 11.64% | 12.09% |
| Liberal Democrat | 12.14% | 11.94% |
| Green | 5.07% | 9.46% |
| UKIP | 1.88% | 4.90% |
| Christian Party | 1.98% | 1.78% |
| Others | 1.93% | 1.74% |
| Pensioners | 1.55% | 1.39% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.28% | 0.39% |
| BNP | 0.63% | 0.10% |
| Solidarity | 0.11% | 0.06% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.79% | 0.05% |
| Independant | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Predicted Highlands and Islands additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Labour | Labour (Rhoda Grant) |
| 2 | Conservative | Conservative (Douglas Ross) |
| 3 | Labour | Liberal Democrat (Jamie Stone) |
| 4 | SNP | Green (John Finnie) |
| 5 | SNP | Labour (David Stewart) |
| 6 | Conservative | Conservative (Edward Mountain) |
| 7 | SNP | Liberal Democrat (Kate Stephen) |
North East Scotland
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 10 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (-1) | 2 (-1) | 3 (+1) | 1 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| Total Seats | 10 (-1) | 2 (-1) | 3 (+1) | 1 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| SNP | Conservative | Labour | Green | Liberal Democrat | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Angus North & Mearns) |
Alex Johnstone (North East Scotland list) |
Jenny Marra (North East Scotland list) |
Maggie Chapman (North East Scotland list) |
Mike Rumbles (North East Scotland list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeenshire East) |
Alexander Burnett (North East Scotland list) |
Lewis MacDonald (North East Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeenshire West) |
Ross Thomson (North East Scotland list) |
- | - | - |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeen South & North Kincardine) |
- | - | - | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Angus South) |
- | - | - | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeen Donside) |
- | - | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Aberdeen Central) |
- | - | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Dundee City East) |
- | - | - | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Banffshire & Buchan Coast) |
- | - | - | - |
| 10 | SNP Candidate (Dundee City West) |
- | - | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for North East Scotland constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 60.20% |
| Labour | 17.92% |
| Conservative | 16.03% |
| Liberal Democrat | 4.26% |
| Green | 1.38% |
| UKIP | 0.86% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Aberdeen Central | SNP (40.0%) | SNP (55.6%) |
| Aberdeen Donside | SNP (55.3%) | SNP (62.6%) |
| Aberdeen South & North Kincardine | SNP (41.7%) | SNP (54.0%) |
| Aberdeenshire East | SNP (64.5%) | SNP (66.7%) |
| Aberdeenshire West | SNP (42.6%) | SNP (56.4%) |
| Angus North & Mearns | SNP (54.8%) | SNP (61.3%) |
| Angus South | SNP (58.5%) | SNP (61.5%) |
| Banffshire & Buchan Coast | SNP (67.2%) | SNP (67.1%) |
| Dundee City East | SNP (64.2%) | SNP (67.0%) |
| Dundee City West | SNP (57.6%) | SNP (64.7%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for North East Scotland regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 54.52% |
| Labour | 15.56% |
| Conservative | 14.79% |
| Green | 6.62% |
| Liberal Democrat | 4.96% |
| UKIP | 3.07% |
| TUSC | 2.36% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.28% |
| Solidarity | 0.00% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 52.71% | 52.41% |
| Conservative | 14.11% | 14.85% |
| Labour | 16.44% | 13.78% |
| Green | 3.90% | 6.38% |
| Liberal Democrat | 6.81% | 5.86% |
| UKIP | 0.93% | 2.74% |
| Pensioners | 1.66% | 1.52% |
| Christian Party | 0.81% | 0.74% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.42% | 0.72% |
| Independant | 0.44% | 0.41% |
| Others | 0.42% | 0.38% |
| BNP | 0.72% | 0.12% |
| Solidarity | 0.11% | 0.06% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.55% | 0.04% |
Predicted North East Scotland additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Labour | Conservative (Alex Johnstone) |
| 2 | Conservative | Labour (Jenny Marra) |
| 3 | Labour | Conservative (Alexander Burnett) |
| 4 | Conservative | Labour (Lewis MacDonald) |
| 5 | Liberal Democrat | Green (Maggie Chapman) |
| 6 | Labour | Liberal Democrat (Mike Rumbles) |
| 7 | SNP | Conservative (Ross Thomson) |
West Scotland
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 10 (+4) | 0 (-4) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (-2) | 4 (+1) | 2 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| Total Seats | 10 (+2) | 4 (-3) | 2 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 1 (+1) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Greenock & Inverclyde) |
Jackie Baillie (West Scotland list) |
Jackson Carlaw (West Scotland list) |
Ross Greer (West Scotland list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Cunninghame North) |
Neil Bibby (West Scotland list) |
Jamie Greene (West Scotland list) |
- |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Renfrewshire South) |
Mary Fee (West Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Clydebank & Milngavie) |
Ken MacIntosh (West Scotland list) |
- | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Cunninghame South) |
- | - | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Paisley) |
- | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Renfrewshire North & West) |
- | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Strathkelvin & Bearsden) |
- | - | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Eastwood) |
- | - | - |
| 10 | SNP Candidate (Dumbarton) |
- | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for West Scotland constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 58.75% |
| Labour | 24.29% |
| Conservative | 11.78% |
| Liberal Democrat | 2.45% |
| UKIP | 2.37% |
| Green | 1.58% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.93% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.87% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Clydebank & Milngavie | SNP (43.3%) | SNP (57.4%) |
| Cunninghame North | SNP (52.6%) | SNP (61.3%) |
| Cunninghame South | SNP (49.8%) | SNP (60.6%) |
| Dumbarton | Labour (44.1%) | SNP (53.6%) |
| Eastwood | Labour (39.7%) | SNP (45.4%) |
| Greenock & Inverclyde | Labour (43.9%) | SNP (57.1%) |
| Paisley | SNP (42.6%) | SNP (57.2%) |
| Renfrewshire North & West | SNP (41.9%) | SNP (55.6%) |
| Renfrewshire South | Labour (48.1%) | SNP (54.8%) |
| Strathkelvin & Bearsden | SNP (42.2%) | SNP (56.5%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for West Scotland regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 51.35% |
| Labour | 25.54% |
| Conservative | 11.08% |
| Green | 6.25% |
| Liberal Democrat | 2.79% |
| UKIP | 2.36% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.83% |
| Solidarity | 0.11% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.07% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 41.54% | 46.49% |
| Labour | 32.77% | 25.41% |
| Conservative | 12.75% | 12.65% |
| Green | 2.98% | 5.59% |
| Liberal Democrat | 3.24% | 3.09% |
| UKIP | 0.71% | 2.15% |
| Pensioners | 1.69% | 1.63% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.62% | 0.94% |
| Christian Party | 0.87% | 0.84% |
| Others | 0.73% | 0.70% |
| Independant | 0.16% | 0.16% |
| Solidarity | 0.16% | 0.15% |
| BNP | 0.77% | 0.13% |
| Socialist Labour | 1.01% | 0.07% |
Predicted West Scotland additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Conservative | Labour (Jackie Baillie) |
| 2 | Labour | Labour (Neil Bibby) |
| 3 | Conservative | Conservative (Jackson Carlaw) |
| 4 | SNP | Labour (Mary Fee) |
| 5 | Labour | Labour (Ken MacIntosh) |
| 6 | SNP | Conservative (Jamie Greene) |
| 7 | Labour | Green (Ross Greer) |
South Scotland
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 9 (+5) | 0 (-2) | 0 (-3) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (-4) | 3 (+1) | 3 (+3) | 1 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| Total Seats | 9 (+1) | 3 (-1) | 3 (n/c) | 1 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley) |
Iain Gray (South Scotland list) |
John Scott (South Scotland list) |
Jim Hume (South Scotland list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire) |
Claudia Beamish (South Scotland list) |
Oliver Mundell (South Scotland list) |
- |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (East Lothian) |
Colin Smyth (South Scotland list) |
Rachael Hamilton (South Scotland list) |
- |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Dumfriesshire) |
- | - | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Clydesdale) |
- | - | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Galloway & West Dumfries) |
- | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale) |
- | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley) |
- | - | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Ayr) |
- | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for South Scotland constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 51.12% |
| Conservative | 22.03% |
| Labour | 19.78% |
| Liberal Democrat | 5.13% |
| UKIP | 0.73% |
| Green | 0.46% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Ayr | Conservative (38.9%) | SNP (46.8%) |
| Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley | SNP (46.2%) | SNP (54.1%) |
| Clydesdale | SNP (49.9%) | SNP (57.4%) |
| Dumfriesshire | Labour (39.6%) | SNP (42.7%) |
| East Lothian | Labour (39.0%) | SNP (50.2%) |
| Ettrick, Roxburgh & Berwickshire | Conservative (44.9%) | SNP (41.5%) |
| Galloway & West Dumfries | Conservative (36.9%) | SNP (46.2%) |
| Kilmarnock & Irvine Valley | SNP (53.2%) | SNP (57.9%) |
| Midlothian South, Tweeddale & Lauderdale | SNP (43.5%) | SNP (53.3%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for South Scotland regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 46.99% |
| Labour | 18.43% |
| Conservative | 15.40% |
| Liberal Democrat | 7.73% |
| Green | 5.51% |
| UKIP | 4.95% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 1.59% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.11% |
| TUSC | 0.00% |
| Solidarity | 0.00% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| CISTA | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 40.98% | 43.83% |
| Labour | 25.32% | 18.87% |
| Conservative | 19.49% | 18.43% |
| Liberal Democrat | 5.41% | 6.64% |
| Green | 3.06% | 5.26% |
| UKIP | 1.16% | 4.04% |
| Pensioners | 1.58% | 1.50% |
| Christian Party | 0.69% | 0.65% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.25% | 0.41% |
| Solidarity | 0.29% | 0.17% |
| BNP | 0.72% | 0.12% |
| Socialist Labour | 1.04% | 0.07% |
| Independant | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Others | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Predicted South Scotland additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Labour | Labour (Iain Gray) |
| 2 | SNP | Conservative (John Scott) |
| 3 | SNP | Labour (Claudia Beamish) |
| 4 | Labour | Conservative (Oliver Mundell) |
| 5 | SNP | Liberal Democrat (Jim Hume) |
| 6 | Liberal Democrat | Labour (Colin Smyth) |
| 7 | SNP | Conservative (Rachael Hamilton) |
Glasgow
| SNP | Labour | Conservative | Liberal Democrat | Green | |
| Constituency Seats | 9 (+4) | 0 (-4) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) |
| List Seats | 0 (-2) | 5 (+2) | 1 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 1 (n/c) |
| Total Seats | 9 (+2) | 5 (-2) | 1 (n/c) | 0 (n/c) | 1 (n/c) |
| SNP | Labour | Green | Conservative | |
| 1 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Pollok) |
Anas Sarwar (Glasgow list) |
Patrick Harvie (Glasgow list) |
Adam Tomkins (Glasgow list) |
| 2 | SNP Candidate (Rutherglen) |
Johann Lamont (Glasgow list) |
- | - |
| 3 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Kelvin) |
James Kelly (Glasgow list) |
- | - |
| 4 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Cathcart) |
Pauline McNeill (Glasgow list) |
- | - |
| 5 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Anniesland) |
Bill Butler (Glasgow list) |
- | - |
| 6 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Shettleston) |
- | - | - |
| 7 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn) |
- | - | - |
| 8 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Provan) |
- | - | - |
| 9 | SNP Candidate (Glasgow Southside) |
- | - | - |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Glasgow constituency vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 56.49% |
| Labour | 25.72% |
| Conservative | 9.52% |
| Liberal Democrat | 3.71% |
| Green | 3.52% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.94% |
| TUSC | 0.89% |
| UKIP | 0.85% |
| CISTA | 0.77% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Constituency | 2011 Winner | 2016 Prediction |
| Glasgow Anniesland | SNP (43.2%) | SNP (56.4%) |
| Glasgow Cathcart | SNP (45.5%) | SNP (57.2%) |
| Glasgow Kelvin | SNP (43.3%) | SNP (56.4%) |
| Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn | Labour (48.1%) | SNP (56.5%) |
| Glasgow Pollok | Labour (47.5%) | SNP (57.9%) |
| Glasgow Provan | Labour (52.3%) | SNP (56.5%) |
| Glasgow Shettleston | SNP (47.8%) | SNP (59.4%) |
| Glasgow Southside | SNP (54.4%) | SNP (62.3%) |
| Rutherglen | Labour (46.1%) | SNP (54.1%) |
Moving average of poll subsamples for Glasgow regional vote:
| Party | Vote Share (%) |
| SNP | 46.49% |
| Labour | 26.14% |
| Green | 10.08% |
| Conservative | 9.64% |
| Liberal Democrat | 3.78% |
| UKIP | 2.56% |
| CISTA | 1.87% |
| Scottish Socialist | 1.11% |
| TUSC | 0.93% |
| Solidarity | 0.12% |
| Socialist Labour | 0.00% |
| Scottish Pensioners | 0.00% |
| Scottish Christian | 0.00% |
| Party | 2011 List vote (%) | Predicted List vote (%) |
| SNP | 39.82% | 42.43% |
| Labour | 34.99% | 26.09% |
| Green | 5.97% | 9.81% |
| Conservative | 6.11% | 8.05% |
| Others | 4.45% | 4.22% |
| Liberal Democrat | 2.55% | 3.15% |
| UKIP | 0.54% | 1.97% |
| Pensioners | 1.80% | 1.71% |
| Scottish Socialist | 0.65% | 1.48% |
| Christian Party | 0.72% | 0.68% |
| BNP | 1.16% | 0.19% |
| Independant | 0.16% | 0.15% |
| Socialist Labour | 1.09% | 0.07% |
| Solidarity | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Predicted Glasgow additional members:
| # | 2011 Result | 2016 Prediction |
| 1 | Labour | Labour (Anas Sarwar) |
| 2 | SNP | Labour (Johann Lamont) |
| 3 | Conservative | Green (Patrick Harvie) |
| 4 | Green | Labour (James Kelly) |
| 5 | Labour | Conservative (Adam Tomkins) |
| 6 | SNP | Labour (Pauline McNeill) |
| 7 | Labour | Labour (Bill Butler) |
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