Odds given across various bookmakers (10bet, 32red, 888sport, bet365, betdaq, betfair, betfred, betvictor, betway, boylesports, bwin, coral, ladbrokes, marathon bet, matchbook, netbet, paddypower, skybet, sportingbet, stanjames, totesport, unibet, williamhill, winner) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.
Theresa May takes the lead.
| Position | Candidate | Chance implied by odds | Change (since 2016-06-26) | Notes |
| 1 | Theresa May | 52.64% | +22.50% | Remain |
| 2 | Boris Johnson | 25.31% | -29.01% | Leave |
| 3 | Michael Gove | 24.65% | +17.80% | Leave |
| 4 | Andrea Leadsom | 8.33% | -2.22% | |
| 5 | Stephen Crabb | 6.48% | -2.40% | Remain |
| 6 | Liam Fox | 3.78% | -3.02% | Leave |
| 7 | Jeremy Hunt | 2.19% | +0.38% | Remain |
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| 8 | Nicky Morgan | 1.39% | -0.82% | Remain |
| 9 | Priti Patel | 1.26% | -2.31% | Leave |
| 10 | Jacob Rees-Mogg | 1.09% | -1.97% | Leave |
| 11 | George Osborne | 1.06% | -2.01% | Remain |
| 12 | David Davis | 0.99% | -0.94% | Leave |
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| 13 | Nigel Farage | 0.99% | 0.00% | |
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| 13 | Jo Johnson | 0.99% | -0.33% | Remain |
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| 15 | Phillip Hammond | 0.98% | -1.64% | Remain |
| 16 | Sajid Javid | 0.95% | -1.02% | Remain |
| 17 | Ruth Davidson | 0.86% | -1.77% | Remain |
| 18 | Dominic Raab | 0.80% | -2.57% | Leave |
| 19 | Rory Stewart | 0.74% | -0.44% | Remain |
| 20 | Penny Mordaunt | 0.73% | -0.67% | Leave |
| 21 | Iain Duncan Smith | 0.72% | -0.74% | Leave |
| 22 | Chris Grayling | 0.71% | -1.52% | Leave |
| 23 | Daniel Hannan | 0.69% | -0.37% | Leave |
| 24 | Michael Fallon | 0.69% | -0.37% | Remain |
| 25 | Jesse Norman | 0.65% | -0.47% | |
| 26 | Amber Rudd | 0.64% | -0.79% | Remain |
| 27 | Graham Brady | 0.61% | -0.69% | Leave |
| 28 | Liz Truss | 0.59% | -0.98% | Remain |
| 29 | Zac Goldsmith | 0.57% | -0.52% | |
| 30 | Owen Paterson | 0.56% | -1.41% | |
| 31 | Anna Soubry | 0.54% | -0.60% | Remain |
| 32 | William Hague | 0.53% | -0.08% | |
| 33 | Theresa Villiers | 0.52% | -0.31% | |
| 34 | Kwasi Kwarteng | 0.52% | -0.20% | |
| 35 | Justine Greening | 0.50% | -0.54% | Remain |
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| 36 | Adam Afriyie | 0.49% | -0.96% | |
| 37 | Ken Clarke | 0.47% | -0.05% | |
| 38 | Robert Halfon | 0.47% | -0.51% | |
| 39 | Chloe Smith | 0.47% | -0.08% | |
| 40 | Sam Gyimah | 0.46% | -0.10% | |
| 41 | Mark Harper | 0.45% | -0.31% | |
| 42 | Nick Herbert | 0.44% | -0.21% | |
| 42 | Nick Boles | 0.44% | -0.17% | |
| 44 | Greg Clark | 0.43% | -0.33% | |
| 45 | Edward Vaizey | 0.42% | -0.49% | |
| 46 | Grant Shapps | 0.37% | -0.23% | |
| 47 | Alan Duncan | 0.37% | -0.51% | |
| 47 | Oliver Letwin | 0.37% | -0.01% | |
| 49 | Andrew Mitchell | 0.36% | -0.19% | |
| 50 | Claire Perry | 0.35% | -0.02% | |
| 50 | Sarah Wollaston | 0.35% | -0.29% | |
| 52 | Maria Miller | 0.33% | -0.12% | |
| 52 | Francis Maude | 0.33% | +0.01% | |
| 54 | Dominic Grieve | 0.30% | -0.07% | |
| 54 | Caroline Spelman | 0.30% | -0.11% | |
| 56 | Matthew Hancock | 0.29% | -0.43% | |
| 56 | Esther McVey | 0.29% | -0.28% | |
| 58 | Rupert Harrison | 0.23% | -0.05% | |
| 59 | John Bercow | 0.18% | +0.01% | |
| 60 | James Wharton | 0.17% | -0.19% | |
| 60 | Harriet Baldwin | 0.17% | -0.03% | |
| 62 | Robert Buckland | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | Eric Pickles | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | Damian Green | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | Patrick McLaughlin | 0.11% | 0.00% | |
| 62 | Tracey Crouch | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | D Willetts | 0.11% | 0.00% | |
| 62 | Nick Gibb | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | Michael Portillo | 0.11% | -0.05% | |
| 62 | Peter Ainsworth | 0.11% | 0.00% | |
| 62 | Malcom Rifkind | 0.11% | 0.00% | |
| 62 | Sir George Young | 0.11% | 0.00% | |
| 62 | John Redwood | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | John Penrose | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | Shaun Bailey | 0.11% | -0.09% | |
| 62 | Nadine Dorries | 0.11% | -0.07% | |
| 62 | Andrew Lansley | 0.11% | -0.10% | |
| 62 | Louise Bagshawe | 0.11% | 0.00% | |
| 62 | Mark Field | 0.11% | 0.00% |
