Next Conservatives leader - What the bookies think

Odds given across various bookmakers (10bet, 32red, 888sport, bet365, betdaq, betfair, betfred, betvictor, betway, boylesports, bwin, coral, ladbrokes, marathon bet, matchbook, netbet, paddypower, skybet, sportingbet, stanjames, totesport, unibet, williamhill, winner) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.

Position	Candidate	Chance implied by odds	Change (since 2016-06-24)	Notes
1	Boris Johnson	55.50%	-6.54%	Leave
2	Theresa May	28.67%	+2.74%	Remain
3	Andrea Leadson	11.33%	+3.28%	Leave
4	Stephen Crabb	8.59%	+3.73%	Remain
5	Michael Gove	8.49%	-4.98%	Leave
6	Liam Fox	6.07%	+1.93%	Leave
7	Priti Patel	4.48%	-1.70%	Leave
8	Dominic Raab	4.12%	+0.43%	Leave
9	George Osborne	3.27%	-0.17%	Remain
10	Phillip Hammond	2.99%	-0.70%	Remain
11	Jacob Rees-Mogg	2.81%	+0.01%	Leave
12	Ruth Davidson	2.64%	-1.22%	Remain
13	Nicky Morgan	2.55%	-0.27%	Remain
14	Sajid Javid	2.36%	-0.79%	Remain
15	Chris Grayling	2.12%	-0.54%	Leave
16	Owen Paterson	2.00%	+0.53%
17	David Davis	1.91%	-0.20%	Leave
18	Jeremy Hunt	1.86%	-0.30%	Remain
19	Michael Fallon	1.77%	+0.59%	Remain
20	Penny Mordaunt	1.53%	-0.56%	Leave
21	Iain Duncan Smith	1.53%	-0.23%	Leave
22	Patrick McLoughlin	1.49%	0.00%	Remain
23	Justin Tomlinson	1.48%	+0.49%	Leave
24	Amber Rudd	1.41%	-0.48%	Remain
25	Liz Truss	1.38%	-0.27%	Remain
26	Adam Afriyie	1.38%	+0.37%
27	Jo Johnson	1.32%	0.00%	Remain
28	Graham Brady	1.28%	-0.68%	Leave
29	Rory Stewart	1.09%	-0.26%	Remain
30	Jesse Norman	1.09%	-0.13%
31	Justine Greening	1.08%	-0.25%	Remain
32	Robert Halfon	1.01%	+0.26%
33	James Duddridge	0.99%	0.00%
33	Stuart Jackson	0.99%	0.00%
33	Edward Timpson	0.99%	0.00%
33	Mark Pawsey	0.99%	0.00%
33	Phillip Lee	0.99%	0.00%
33	Greg Hands	0.99%	0.00%
33	Philip Davies	0.99%	0.00%
33	Nigel Farage	0.99%	0.00%
33	Nicola Blackwood	0.99%	0.00%
33	Louise Mensch	0.99%	0.00%
33	Andrew Percy	0.99%	0.00%
33	Bob Stewart	0.99%	0.00%
33	Daniel Kawcynski	0.99%	0.00%
33	Andrew Rosindell	0.99%	0.00%
33	Guy Opperman	0.99%	0.00%
33	Karen Bradley	0.99%	0.00%
33	James Cleverly	0.99%	0.00%
33	Hugh Robertson	0.99%	0.00%
33	Oliver Heald	0.99%	0.00%
33	Robert Goodwill	0.99%	0.00%
33	Christopher Pincher	0.99%	0.00%
33	Helen Grant	0.99%	0.00%
33	Mark Menzies	0.99%	0.00%
33	David Jones	0.99%	0.00%
33	Jim Paice	0.99%	0.00%
33	Johnny Mercer	0.99%	0.00%
33	Mary Macleod	0.99%	0.00%
33	Heidi Allen	0.99%	0.00%
33	Michael Ashcroft	0.99%	0.00%
33	Stephen Barclay	0.99%	0.00%
33	Liz Kendall	0.99%	0.00%
33	Bob Blackman	0.99%	0.00%
33	Gavin Barwell	0.99%	0.00%
33	Caroline Noakes	0.99%	0.00%
33	Jonathan Lord	0.99%	0.00%
33	Laurence Robertson	0.99%	0.00%
69	Theresa Villiers	0.99%	-0.48%
70	Daniel Hannan	0.98%	-0.04%
71	Zac Goldsmith	0.98%	-0.39%
72	Anna Soubry	0.93%	-0.54%
73	Edward Vaizey	0.93%	-0.04%
74	Kwasi Kwarteng	0.81%	+0.21%
75	Greg Clark	0.74%	-0.29%
76	Mark Harper	0.69%	-0.87%
77	Nick Herbert	0.68%	-0.04%
78	Nick Boles	0.63%	-0.08%
79	Esther McVey	0.61%	-0.07%
79	Sam Gyimah	0.61%	-0.03%
81	William Hague	0.61%	-0.61%
82	Grant Shapps	0.60%	-0.18%
83	Chloe Smith	0.57%	-0.01%
84	Andrew Mitchell	0.56%	-0.01%
85	Ken Clarke	0.54%	-0.24%
86	Matthew Hancock	0.54%	-0.02%
87	Iain Dale	0.50%	0.00%
87	Peter Bone	0.50%	0.00%
87	Sheryll Murray	0.50%	0.00%
87	Jonathan Sheppard	0.50%	0.00%
87	Andrew Strauss	0.50%	0.00%
87	David Morris	0.50%	0.00%
87	Michael Fabricant	0.50%	0.00%
87	Marcus Jones	0.50%	0.00%
87	Michael Winstanley	0.50%	0.00%
87	Tim Montgomerie	0.50%	0.00%
97	Maria Miller	0.48%	0.00%
98	Oliver Letwin	0.43%	+0.02%
99	Alan Duncan	0.42%	0.00%
100	Caroline Spelman	0.41%	-0.19%
101	Dominic Grieve	0.37%	-0.20%
101	Claire Perry	0.37%	0.00%
101	Sarah Wollaston	0.37%	-0.31%
101	Francis Maude	0.37%	0.00%
105	Rupert Harrison	0.28%	-1.67%
106	Andrew Lansley	0.20%	-0.60%
107	James Wharton	0.20%	-0.39%
107	Robert Buckland	0.20%	-0.33%
107	Harriet Baldwin	0.20%	0.00%
107	Tracey Crouch	0.20%	0.00%
107	Nick Gibb	0.20%	0.00%
107	John Penrose	0.20%	0.00%
113	Eric Pickles	0.19%	0.00%
113	Damian Green	0.19%	0.00%
113	John Redwood	0.19%	0.00%
113	Shaun Bailey	0.19%	0.00%
117	John Bercow	0.17%	0.00%
117	Nadine Dorries	0.17%	0.00%
119	Patrick McLaughlin	0.11%	-0.16%
119	D Willetts	0.11%	0.00%
119	Michael Portillo	0.11%	-0.42%
119	Peter Ainsworth	0.11%	0.00%
119	Malcom Rifkind	0.11%	0.00%
119	Sir George Young	0.11%	0.00%
119	Louise Bagshawe	0.11%	0.00%
119	Mark Field	0.11%	-0.06%