Bookie prediction change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Alliance Party | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Conservative | 36 | 267 | 13 | 280 | -23 |
| DUP | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 | +1 |
| Green | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Labour | 39 | 219 | 44 | 263 | +5 |
| Liberal Democrat | 31 | 26 | 0 | 26 | -31 |
| Plaid Cymru | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Respect | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| SDLP | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| SNP | 0 | 6 | 49 | 55 | +49 |
| Sinn Fein | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Speaker | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sylvia Hermon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| UKIP | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
My Prediction Overall Seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Alliance Party | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Conservative | 50 | 253 | 30 | 283 | -20 |
| DUP | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Green | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Labour | 38 | 220 | 59 | 279 | +21 |
| Liberal Democrat | 53 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -53 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Respect | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| SDLP | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| SNP | 0 | 6 | 43 | 49 | +43 |
| Sinn Fein | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
| Speaker | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Sylvia Hermon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| UKIP | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +8 |
| UUP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Scotland seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Labour | 34 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -34 |
| Liberal Democrat | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -8 |
| SNP | 0 | 6 | 43 | 49 | +43 |
Scotland vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 16.74% | 16.05% | 0.96x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 0.68% | 2.27% | 3.33x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 42.00% | 25.70% | 0.61x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 18.88% | 6.82% | 0.36x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| SNP | 19.93% | 45.98% | 2.31x | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UKIP | 0.70% | 2.78% | 3.98x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Tactical voting factors:
| Party Vote Source | Tactical Target Party | Tactical voting likelihood % |
| Labour | Liberal Democrat | 36.84% |
| Labour | Conservative | 19.09% |
| UKIP | Labour | 25.00% |
| UKIP | Liberal Democrat | 50.00% |
| UKIP | Conservative | 75.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | Labour | 28.02% |
| Liberal Democrat | Conservative | 36.94% |
| Conservative | Labour | 19.90% |
| Conservative | Liberal Democrat | 47.61% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in Scotland:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | SNP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Aberdeen North | 9.53% | 31.77% | 4.84% | 51.45% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Aberdeen South | 18.71% | 34.85% | 8.68% | 32.17% | Labour | Labour | SNP |
| Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine | 20.82% | 7.89% | 28.40% | 39.20% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Airdrie & Shotts | 6.90% | 39.15% | 1.55% | 50.93% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Angus | 26.60% | 6.03% | 1.74% | 64.55% | SNP | SNP | SNP |
| Argyll & Bute | 12.14% | 8.84% | 28.24% | 43.96% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock | 20.82% | 33.98% | 2.27% | 42.88% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Ayrshire Central | 15.87% | 35.37% | 3.15% | 44.58% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Ayrshire North & Arran | 11.01% | 30.79% | 2.39% | 54.87% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Banff & Buchan | 23.32% | 4.95% | 1.85% | 67.97% | SNP | SNP | SNP |
| Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk | 25.28% | 6.89% | 37.09% | 27.32% | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat | Conservative |
| Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross | 7.22% | 10.52% | 30.91% | 48.90% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill | 6.51% | 46.33% | 1.73% | 45.02% | Labour | Labour | SNP |
| Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East | 6.21% | 36.28% | 2.25% | 53.71% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Dumfries & Galloway | 32.61% | 24.69% | 4.45% | 34.72% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale | 34.10% | 17.23% | 4.99% | 37.25% | Conservative | SNP | SNP |
| Dunbartonshire East | 10.92% | 16.32% | 34.92% | 35.38% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Dunbartonshire West | 5.93% | 39.92% | 1.54% | 46.56% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Dundee East | 8.60% | 18.71% | 2.02% | 64.22% | SNP | SNP | SNP |
| Dundee West | 6.34% | 27.83% | 2.89% | 60.64% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Dunfermline & Fife West | 6.64% | 44.80% | 11.68% | 31.38% | Labour | Labour | SNP |
| East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow | 9.15% | 32.72% | 2.37% | 48.81% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| East Lothian | 15.02% | 34.23% | 4.36% | 36.82% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Edinburgh East | 7.64% | 28.35% | 4.60% | 42.82% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Edinburgh North & Leith | 15.35% | 31.59% | 7.46% | 34.35% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Edinburgh South | 19.94% | 33.44% | 9.17% | 30.04% | Labour | Labour | SNP |
| Edinburgh South West | 19.78% | 31.64% | 4.58% | 35.53% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Edinburgh West | 13.80% | 12.71% | 36.90% | 36.00% | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Falkirk | 7.00% | 27.58% | 2.17% | 56.73% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Fife North East | 13.77% | 8.00% | 34.01% | 38.82% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Glasgow Central | 5.10% | 34.88% | 3.55% | 41.83% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Glasgow East | 3.58% | 36.94% | 1.10% | 51.53% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Glasgow North | 5.58% | 34.87% | 6.65% | 38.08% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Glasgow North East | 4.39% | 49.06% | 1.66% | 38.68% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Glasgow North West | 7.48% | 38.40% | 3.64% | 40.33% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Glasgow South | 8.77% | 33.80% | 2.49% | 46.58% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Glasgow South West | 5.26% | 37.87% | 2.09% | 47.99% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Glenrothes | 5.37% | 40.43% | 1.93% | 48.58% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Gordon | 10.24% | 10.97% | 26.48% | 47.28% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Inverclyde | 6.13% | 29.57% | 0.47% | 61.37% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey | 8.30% | 10.71% | 25.25% | 46.32% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Kilmarnock & Loudoun | 9.92% | 33.06% | 1.74% | 54.62% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath | 7.37% | 43.46% | 2.81% | 40.42% | Labour | Labour | SNP |
| Lanark & Hamilton East | 10.91% | 34.58% | 2.78% | 45.92% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Linlithgow & Falkirk East | 8.61% | 32.54% | 3.13% | 55.05% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Livingston | 7.40% | 30.75% | 2.58% | 53.57% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Midlothian | 8.69% | 32.38% | 4.24% | 45.40% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Moray | 25.60% | 5.89% | 2.30% | 63.70% | SNP | SNP | SNP |
| Motherwell & Wishaw | 6.35% | 41.48% | 1.86% | 47.56% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | 2.33% | 14.99% | 1.34% | 72.80% | SNP | SNP | SNP |
| Ochil & South Perthshire | 12.95% | 24.76% | 2.44% | 52.48% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Orkney & Shetland | 5.67% | 4.43% | 47.76% | 26.18% | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat |
| Paisley & Renfrewshire North | 11.40% | 38.22% | 2.78% | 44.74% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Paisley & Renfrewshire South | 6.48% | 39.91% | 1.64% | 47.83% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Perth & North Perthshire | 23.93% | 5.92% | 2.05% | 66.61% | SNP | SNP | SNP |
| Renfrewshire East | 24.70% | 33.90% | 2.83% | 36.37% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
| Ross, Skye & Lochaber | 7.07% | 6.74% | 33.89% | 42.86% | Liberal Democrat | SNP | SNP |
| Rutherglen & Hamilton West | 7.77% | 44.46% | 3.27% | 38.92% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stirling | 17.79% | 31.52% | 3.64% | 38.42% | Labour | SNP | SNP |
Wales seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 1 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Labour | 0 | 26 | 3 | 29 | +3 |
| Liberal Democrat | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Wales vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 26.10% | 26.35% | 1.01x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 0.40% | 4.09% | 10.23x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 36.20% | 39.34% | 1.09x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 20.10% | 7.06% | 0.35x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| Plaid Cymru | 11.30% | 9.51% | 0.84x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| UKIP | 2.40% | 12.67% | 5.28x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in Wales:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | Plaid Cymru | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Aberavon | 14.34% | 56.82% | 5.69% | 5.96% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Aberconwy | 37.73% | 27.61% | 7.04% | 15.58% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Alyn & Deeside | 31.78% | 42.38% | 6.27% | 3.19% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Arfon | 17.09% | 33.02% | 4.93% | 31.03% | Plaid Cymru | Labour | Plaid Cymru |
| Blaenau Gwent | 6.75% | 54.97% | 3.40% | 3.31% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Brecon & Radnorshire | 33.79% | 13.78% | 24.80% | 5.15% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Bridgend | 31.53% | 40.92% | 8.14% | 5.11% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Caerphilly | 16.82% | 47.98% | 5.03% | 13.68% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Cardiff Central | 19.24% | 33.38% | 19.49% | 5.91% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Cardiff North | 32.51% | 39.06% | 5.96% | 4.79% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Cardiff South & Penarth | 12.51% | 32.39% | 2.37% | 5.01% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Cardiff West | 24.80% | 37.50% | 5.10% | 4.88% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Carmarthen East & Dinefwr | 21.61% | 27.51% | 4.07% | 29.41% | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru |
| Carmarthen West & Pembrokeshire South | 36.44% | 31.47% | 4.03% | 12.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ceredigion | 12.59% | 6.77% | 19.91% | 25.69% | Liberal Democrat | Plaid Cymru | Liberal Democrat |
| Clwyd South | 29.89% | 41.27% | 5.92% | 7.16% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Clwyd West | 41.92% | 26.70% | 5.32% | 12.88% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cynon Valley | 9.42% | 53.35% | 4.49% | 15.82% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Delyn | 34.45% | 44.10% | 5.38% | 4.13% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Dwyfor Meirionnydd | 22.60% | 15.17% | 4.31% | 38.39% | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru |
| Gower | 32.97% | 43.05% | 6.84% | 5.69% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Islwyn | 13.01% | 49.74% | 3.35% | 10.10% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Llanelli | 13.71% | 44.09% | 3.46% | 23.83% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney | 7.89% | 49.79% | 11.32% | 4.42% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Monmouth | 43.44% | 24.93% | 6.04% | 2.04% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Montgomeryshire | 46.17% | 8.51% | 14.63% | 7.68% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Neath | 12.86% | 49.54% | 5.11% | 16.37% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Newport East | 25.16% | 44.03% | 12.26% | 1.92% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Newport West | 27.91% | 38.72% | 4.98% | 2.03% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Ogmore | 14.99% | 56.28% | 5.08% | 7.70% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Pontypridd | 15.23% | 39.69% | 10.21% | 5.72% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Preseli Pembrokeshire | 41.99% | 32.75% | 4.94% | 7.51% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rhondda | 6.34% | 59.43% | 3.66% | 14.94% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Swansea East | 13.08% | 49.59% | 5.64% | 4.93% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Swansea West | 20.59% | 37.28% | 11.44% | 3.33% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Torfaen | 17.59% | 42.72% | 5.08% | 3.90% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Vale of Clwyd | 34.43% | 44.93% | 4.28% | 4.75% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Vale of Glamorgan | 37.19% | 31.35% | 4.29% | 7.97% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wrexham | 26.13% | 41.25% | 9.23% | 5.28% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Ynys Mon | 20.40% | 32.91% | 2.37% | 19.84% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
London seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 4 | 24 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| Labour | 0 | 38 | 7 | 45 | +7 |
| Liberal Democrat | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
London vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 34.50% | 32.62% | 0.95x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.60% | 4.84% | 3.03x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 36.60% | 42.73% | 1.17x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 22.10% | 9.15% | 0.41x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| UKIP | 1.70% | 8.99% | 5.29x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in London:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Barking | 14.30% | 54.41% | 2.89% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Battersea | 44.23% | 40.28% | 5.98% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Beckenham | 52.83% | 16.21% | 8.19% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bermondsey & Old Southwark | 20.22% | 42.68% | 26.28% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Liberal Democrat |
| Bethnal Green & Bow | 13.36% | 51.32% | 8.45% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bexleyheath & Crayford | 42.90% | 27.69% | 4.72% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Brent Central | 12.51% | 56.94% | 22.73% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Brent North | 28.99% | 53.75% | 6.84% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Brentford & Isleworth | 35.41% | 39.25% | 9.80% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Bromley & Chislehurst | 48.72% | 18.53% | 8.71% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Camberwell & Peckham | 11.97% | 67.79% | 8.99% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Carshalton & Wallington | 40.24% | 11.79% | 24.25% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Chelsea & Fulham | 57.75% | 21.71% | 6.76% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chingford & Woodford Green | 47.30% | 24.99% | 6.56% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chipping Barnet | 43.51% | 27.65% | 7.83% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cities of London & Westminster | 48.84% | 25.50% | 8.37% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Croydon Central | 36.75% | 36.67% | 3.28% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Croydon North | 11.36% | 54.45% | 1.03% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Croydon South | 43.86% | 21.21% | 8.57% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dagenham & Rainham | 27.68% | 40.50% | 3.04% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Dulwich & West Norwood | 20.29% | 53.20% | 10.89% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Ealing Central & Acton | 37.04% | 36.08% | 11.73% | Conservative | Conservative | Labour |
| Ealing North | 26.94% | 54.82% | 5.03% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Ealing Southall | 27.41% | 59.13% | 6.02% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| East Ham | 13.31% | 77.04% | 4.46% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Edmonton | 24.33% | 54.55% | 3.76% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Eltham | 32.00% | 44.13% | 4.71% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Enfield North | 36.87% | 41.22% | 4.62% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Enfield Southgate | 45.54% | 36.50% | 5.54% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Erith & Thamesmead | 26.36% | 46.90% | 4.42% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Feltham & Heston | 19.84% | 48.59% | 1.84% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Finchley & Golders Green | 41.82% | 37.62% | 6.75% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Greenwich & Woolwich | 22.60% | 56.50% | 7.34% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hackney North & Stoke Newington | 13.10% | 61.78% | 9.42% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hackney South & Shoreditch | 11.60% | 59.56% | 8.40% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hammersmith | 32.73% | 49.21% | 6.28% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hampstead & Kilburn | 33.43% | 41.79% | 13.96% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Harrow East | 39.79% | 42.46% | 4.75% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Harrow West | 32.04% | 47.36% | 6.17% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hayes & Harlington | 26.40% | 61.30% | 3.43% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hendon | 36.75% | 44.91% | 4.68% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Holborn & St Pancras | 18.99% | 53.58% | 11.39% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hornchurch & Upminster | 41.33% | 20.52% | 4.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hornsey & Wood Green | 17.23% | 43.00% | 30.64% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Ilford North | 40.57% | 37.32% | 4.90% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ilford South | 22.95% | 51.68% | 6.23% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Islington North | 12.56% | 59.97% | 10.30% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Islington South & Finsbury | 18.81% | 51.10% | 14.47% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Kensington | 45.37% | 28.45% | 7.72% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Kingston & Surbiton | 40.70% | 12.85% | 25.49% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Lewisham Deptford | 11.60% | 57.71% | 8.82% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Lewisham East | 21.94% | 49.90% | 11.46% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Lewisham West & Penge | 22.95% | 46.09% | 11.09% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leyton & Wanstead | 19.89% | 48.65% | 10.82% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Mitcham & Morden | 21.15% | 58.99% | 4.36% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Old Bexley & Sidcup | 47.38% | 20.73% | 5.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Orpington | 57.25% | 10.60% | 10.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Poplar & Limehouse | 23.88% | 43.97% | 4.31% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Putney | 49.10% | 31.75% | 6.96% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Richmond Park | 58.40% | 7.26% | 21.92% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Romford | 46.14% | 19.77% | 4.30% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner | 51.47% | 21.48% | 6.48% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Streatham | 19.12% | 55.70% | 16.38% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Sutton & Cheam | 47.91% | 9.72% | 23.75% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Tooting | 34.41% | 48.46% | 5.80% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Tottenham | 12.74% | 63.19% | 6.62% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Twickenham | 41.20% | 11.46% | 30.25% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Uxbridge & Ruislip South | 43.68% | 26.00% | 7.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Vauxhall | 20.84% | 60.06% | 10.64% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Walthamstow | 12.53% | 57.92% | 11.27% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| West Ham | 12.09% | 64.38% | 4.14% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Westminster North | 34.68% | 49.27% | 5.49% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wimbledon | 47.23% | 26.32% | 10.49% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
East Midlands seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 8 | 22 | 0 | 22 | -8 |
| Labour | 1 | 15 | 7 | 22 | +6 |
| UKIP | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 |
East Midlands vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 34.77% | 0.88x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.21% | 6.21x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 33.26% | 1.18x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 8.57% | 0.35x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 15.04% | 4.30x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in East Midlands:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | UKIP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Amber Valley | 34.23% | 44.53% | 8.51% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Ashfield | 21.95% | 45.36% | 9.37% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bassetlaw | 26.96% | 54.66% | 13.97% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bolsover | 19.65% | 54.42% | 15.31% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Boston & Skegness | 37.23% | 18.70% | 34.49% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bosworth | 45.20% | 22.74% | 10.45% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Broxtowe | 33.33% | 43.86% | 9.41% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Charnwood | 45.98% | 24.47% | 15.16% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chesterfield | 14.00% | 47.27% | 13.60% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Corby | 14.98% | 37.16% | 39.51% | Labour | UKIP | Labour |
| Daventry | 46.75% | 17.51% | 18.15% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Derby North | 30.59% | 43.43% | 8.69% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Derby South | 23.41% | 48.52% | 17.79% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Derbyshire Dales | 44.03% | 21.95% | 15.64% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Derbyshire Mid | 45.04% | 30.60% | 12.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Derbyshire North East | 26.98% | 42.53% | 22.45% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Derbyshire South | 40.79% | 37.71% | 10.44% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Erewash | 33.95% | 39.48% | 7.52% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Gainsborough | 46.53% | 19.81% | 19.28% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Gedling | 31.42% | 47.21% | 12.49% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Grantham & Stamford | 47.42% | 22.77% | 13.95% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Harborough | 50.35% | 17.53% | 13.33% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| High Peak | 36.51% | 36.12% | 11.61% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Kettering | 48.05% | 39.24% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Leicester East | 19.14% | 57.37% | 5.79% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leicester South | 12.70% | 66.17% | 11.95% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leicester West | 22.08% | 42.48% | 9.81% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leicestershire North West | 40.35% | 36.56% | 9.63% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Leicestershire South | 44.96% | 25.44% | 16.12% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Lincoln | 34.14% | 42.97% | 9.72% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Loughborough | 38.18% | 42.49% | 7.83% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Louth & Horncastle | 44.68% | 20.95% | 18.95% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Mansfield | 20.01% | 40.10% | 22.94% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Newark | 20.28% | 10.68% | 56.82% | Conservative | UKIP | Conservative |
| Northampton North | 30.02% | 34.59% | 13.17% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Northampton South | 32.97% | 27.54% | 19.13% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Northamptonshire South | 47.32% | 19.92% | 16.76% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Nottingham East | 17.71% | 46.16% | 12.57% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Nottingham North | 19.89% | 52.97% | 15.30% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Nottingham South | 27.47% | 42.33% | 9.67% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Rushcliffe | 40.98% | 22.27% | 15.83% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rutland & Melton | 47.02% | 17.64% | 20.49% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Sherwood | 33.31% | 44.18% | 12.58% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Sleaford & North Hykeham | 46.40% | 20.36% | 15.91% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| South Holland & The Deepings | 45.12% | 14.34% | 24.06% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wellingborough | 40.77% | 28.82% | 13.03% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
West Midlands seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 8 | 25 | 1 | 26 | -7 |
| Labour | 0 | 24 | 9 | 33 | +9 |
| Liberal Democrat | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
West Midlands vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 34.77% | 0.88x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.21% | 6.21x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 33.26% | 1.18x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 8.57% | 0.35x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 15.04% | 4.30x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in West Midlands:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Aldridge-Brownhills | 54.14% | 24.23% | 6.48% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Birmingham Edgbaston | 31.35% | 46.16% | 5.17% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Erdington | 28.15% | 49.15% | 5.62% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Hall Green | 13.85% | 41.31% | 9.14% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Hodge Hill | 10.57% | 64.38% | 10.17% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Ladywood | 9.30% | 59.10% | 8.64% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Northfield | 26.94% | 43.93% | 5.06% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Perry Barr | 17.60% | 56.54% | 7.31% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Selly Oak | 26.00% | 43.92% | 7.52% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birmingham Yardley | 19.04% | 43.10% | 16.62% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Bromsgrove | 36.64% | 24.51% | 6.60% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Burton | 39.21% | 37.66% | 5.60% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cannock Chase | 33.25% | 37.09% | 5.43% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Coventry North East | 18.28% | 55.39% | 5.53% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Coventry North West | 23.77% | 47.26% | 5.86% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Coventry South | 26.03% | 44.33% | 5.66% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Dudley North | 26.04% | 37.07% | 2.99% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Dudley South | 32.11% | 32.98% | 4.69% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Halesowen & Rowley Regis | 35.05% | 39.18% | 4.37% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Hereford & Herefordshire South | 50.28% | 10.57% | 17.93% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Herefordshire North | 41.04% | 7.54% | 9.86% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Kenilworth & Southam | 50.54% | 18.16% | 10.47% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Lichfield | 46.31% | 22.66% | 6.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ludlow | 49.65% | 8.47% | 12.37% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Meriden | 44.52% | 23.71% | 6.15% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Newcastle-under-Lyme | 25.53% | 38.40% | 5.87% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Nuneaton | 40.49% | 46.23% | 4.81% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Redditch | 36.20% | 33.79% | 5.88% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rugby | 40.25% | 38.49% | 7.29% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Shrewsbury & Atcham | 40.18% | 25.24% | 10.63% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Shropshire North | 41.93% | 19.82% | 6.85% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Solihull | 48.14% | 13.53% | 20.53% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Stafford | 35.67% | 35.99% | 5.33% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Staffordshire Moorlands | 33.92% | 30.13% | 5.05% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Staffordshire South | 44.40% | 22.74% | 5.59% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Stoke-on-Trent Central | 17.28% | 43.41% | 7.18% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stoke-on-Trent North | 18.03% | 45.66% | 5.41% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stoke-on-Trent South | 23.41% | 43.51% | 5.27% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stone | 41.63% | 22.84% | 7.41% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Stourbridge | 35.41% | 33.41% | 5.03% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Stratford-on-Avon | 47.66% | 11.80% | 10.80% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Sutton Coldfield | 46.37% | 23.46% | 6.21% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Tamworth | 37.63% | 36.00% | 5.34% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Telford | 27.99% | 40.60% | 4.82% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Walsall North | 26.85% | 39.47% | 4.15% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Walsall South | 25.16% | 38.41% | 4.13% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Warley | 17.92% | 52.07% | 4.52% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Warwick & Leamington | 35.96% | 40.12% | 6.20% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Warwickshire North | 33.54% | 44.86% | 3.88% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| West Bromwich East | 23.65% | 51.87% | 4.34% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| West Bromwich West | 22.71% | 47.38% | 3.74% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wolverhampton North East | 27.94% | 45.94% | 4.44% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wolverhampton South East | 20.35% | 46.14% | 4.37% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wolverhampton South West | 33.94% | 43.60% | 5.36% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Worcester | 35.04% | 34.74% | 5.18% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Worcestershire Mid | 44.44% | 16.34% | 7.64% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Worcestershire West | 48.70% | 8.79% | 14.69% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wrekin, The | 40.39% | 30.82% | 5.93% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wyre Forest | 32.07% | 16.71% | 4.13% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
South West seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 2 | 34 | 14 | 48 | +12 |
| Labour | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +3 |
| Liberal Democrat | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -15 |
South West vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 37.82% | 0.96x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.79% | 6.79x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 29.38% | 1.05x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 9.84% | 0.41x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| Speaker | 39.60% | 37.82% | 0.96x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 14.65% | 4.19x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in South West:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Bath | 34.70% | 8.36% | 27.98% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Bournemouth East | 45.38% | 13.53% | 12.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bournemouth West | 42.01% | 15.02% | 12.51% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bridgwater & Somerset West | 40.74% | 16.78% | 10.79% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bristol East | 25.16% | 35.94% | 9.23% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bristol North West | 40.68% | 31.27% | 10.74% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bristol South | 20.42% | 37.88% | 10.87% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bristol West | 15.86% | 33.52% | 20.36% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Camborne & Redruth | 36.58% | 20.59% | 14.11% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cheltenham | 51.15% | 6.96% | 28.03% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Chippenham | 44.39% | 8.18% | 22.12% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Christchurch | 48.98% | 9.28% | 9.28% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cornwall North | 44.35% | 6.23% | 27.69% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Cornwall South East | 41.12% | 7.02% | 14.91% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cotswolds, The | 48.77% | 10.76% | 11.52% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Devizes | 49.37% | 9.93% | 10.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Devon Central | 46.45% | 6.78% | 13.12% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Devon East | 40.21% | 9.77% | 10.98% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Devon North | 33.46% | 5.29% | 19.66% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Devon South West | 48.17% | 11.65% | 8.80% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Devon West & Torridge | 42.45% | 5.35% | 15.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dorset Mid & Poole North | 48.76% | 7.04% | 22.07% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dorset North | 49.49% | 5.68% | 15.18% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dorset South | 39.89% | 29.18% | 7.12% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dorset West | 48.82% | 7.44% | 17.70% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Exeter | 28.71% | 36.76% | 7.51% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Filton & Bradley Stoke | 38.99% | 27.56% | 10.23% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Forest of Dean | 39.40% | 22.14% | 7.79% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Gloucester | 37.74% | 35.02% | 8.12% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Kingswood | 36.77% | 35.00% | 6.49% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Newton Abbot | 39.96% | 7.10% | 16.50% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Plymouth Moor View | 26.17% | 32.26% | 5.64% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Plymouth Sutton & Devonport | 27.63% | 27.81% | 8.42% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Poole | 46.66% | 13.63% | 13.15% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Salisbury | 50.97% | 8.59% | 16.19% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Somerset North | 52.18% | 12.84% | 16.01% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Somerset North East | 37.35% | 31.23% | 8.56% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Somerton & Frome | 51.85% | 5.63% | 24.73% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| St Austell & Newquay | 38.62% | 9.47% | 23.90% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| St Ives | 34.01% | 7.80% | 16.66% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Stroud | 34.26% | 35.27% | 5.49% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Swindon North | 39.68% | 29.61% | 6.50% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Swindon South | 36.27% | 34.57% | 5.82% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Taunton Deane | 48.69% | 6.45% | 25.30% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Tewkesbury | 46.52% | 12.44% | 14.82% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Thornbury & Yate | 43.60% | 9.02% | 27.23% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Tiverton & Honiton | 45.07% | 8.72% | 12.65% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Torbay | 38.79% | 7.20% | 21.04% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Totnes | 39.25% | 6.90% | 12.89% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Truro & Falmouth | 40.71% | 10.24% | 16.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wells | 44.83% | 8.67% | 20.71% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Weston-Super-Mare | 49.96% | 13.45% | 18.72% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wiltshire North | 50.71% | 7.12% | 15.08% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wiltshire South West | 50.06% | 12.09% | 12.52% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Yeovil | 38.75% | 6.75% | 29.32% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
Eastern seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 4 | 47 | 2 | 49 | -2 |
| Green | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
| Labour | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Liberal Democrat | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
| UKIP | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Eastern vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 37.82% | 0.96x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.79% | 6.79x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 29.38% | 1.05x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 9.84% | 0.41x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| Speaker | 39.60% | 37.82% | 0.96x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 14.65% | 4.19x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in Eastern:
| Constituency | Conservative | Green | Labour | Liberal Democrat | UKIP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Basildon & Billericay | 49.69% | 0.00% | 23.67% | 6.27% | 15.73% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Basildon South & Thurrock East | 36.46% | 0.00% | 28.58% | 3.95% | 25.61% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bedford | 36.80% | 5.83% | 37.01% | 7.96% | 10.39% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Bedfordshire Mid | 46.47% | 8.82% | 14.24% | 9.33% | 19.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bedfordshire North East | 54.16% | 0.00% | 17.05% | 8.92% | 17.49% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bedfordshire South West | 50.48% | 0.00% | 20.40% | 8.10% | 17.59% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Braintree | 44.99% | 8.82% | 18.51% | 6.80% | 18.76% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Brentwood & Ongar | 52.56% | 7.54% | 9.93% | 9.18% | 16.22% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Broadland | 43.29% | 9.46% | 14.12% | 12.84% | 18.48% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Broxbourne | 54.30% | 0.00% | 17.72% | 5.23% | 16.67% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bury St Edmunds | 36.63% | 23.41% | 13.98% | 8.63% | 17.19% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cambridge | 17.87% | 24.31% | 25.20% | 26.33% | 5.33% | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat |
| Cambridgeshire North East | 46.73% | 0.00% | 17.42% | 7.40% | 23.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cambridgeshire North West | 43.13% | 0.00% | 15.77% | 7.91% | 30.85% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cambridgeshire South | 46.05% | 12.09% | 10.79% | 14.04% | 13.44% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cambridgeshire South East | 48.05% | 9.42% | 8.30% | 15.97% | 16.22% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Castle Point | 44.44% | 0.00% | 15.27% | 3.00% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chelmsford | 48.70% | 6.50% | 12.58% | 16.44% | 12.86% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Clacton | 7.68% | 4.31% | 3.82% | 0.18% | 83.65% | UKIP | UKIP | UKIP |
| Colchester | 34.91% | 11.35% | 14.31% | 22.79% | 13.62% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Epping Forest | 48.39% | 8.97% | 13.92% | 8.16% | 15.54% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Great Yarmouth | 35.38% | 5.66% | 31.52% | 3.49% | 20.34% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Harlow | 41.48% | 0.00% | 33.89% | 5.34% | 14.61% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Harwich & Essex North | 39.94% | 11.16% | 18.49% | 8.50% | 19.14% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hemel Hempstead | 51.00% | 0.00% | 23.13% | 9.88% | 11.28% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hertford & Stortford | 55.27% | 0.00% | 15.39% | 11.28% | 13.88% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hertfordshire North East | 47.37% | 10.86% | 15.85% | 8.77% | 15.88% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hertfordshire South West | 57.54% | 0.00% | 13.29% | 12.55% | 11.82% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hertsmere | 49.83% | 8.04% | 18.19% | 6.54% | 14.05% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hitchin & Harpenden | 51.69% | 9.88% | 13.98% | 10.70% | 12.55% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Huntingdon | 43.40% | 7.55% | 10.67% | 10.88% | 23.26% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ipswich | 34.55% | 10.31% | 33.38% | 6.81% | 11.20% | Conservative | Conservative | Labour |
| Luton North | 26.67% | 6.79% | 45.72% | 3.97% | 13.37% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Luton South | 27.91% | 5.86% | 36.67% | 9.17% | 9.62% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Maldon | 55.34% | 0.00% | 12.77% | 7.57% | 20.60% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Norfolk Mid | 39.37% | 16.15% | 15.12% | 7.48% | 19.14% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Norfolk North | 33.67% | 7.63% | 6.70% | 26.03% | 24.83% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Norfolk North West | 48.72% | 9.91% | 13.01% | 8.84% | 15.09% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Norfolk South | 44.70% | 11.65% | 13.02% | 11.30% | 16.74% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Norfolk South West | 39.79% | 9.83% | 16.64% | 7.53% | 22.36% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Norwich North | 33.19% | 9.85% | 34.16% | 5.15% | 14.93% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Norwich South | 12.27% | 56.78% | 16.83% | 7.02% | 5.65% | Liberal Democrat | Green | Labour |
| Peterborough | 32.36% | 5.84% | 31.02% | 5.87% | 21.84% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rayleigh & Wickford | 53.50% | 0.00% | 14.60% | 5.93% | 17.05% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rochford & Southend East | 38.48% | 9.86% | 18.18% | 6.75% | 20.69% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Saffron Walden | 51.33% | 8.85% | 9.81% | 10.75% | 16.54% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Southend West | 42.68% | 9.68% | 13.54% | 11.53% | 15.88% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| St Albans | 39.50% | 9.84% | 18.56% | 14.94% | 16.23% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Stevenage | 37.69% | 0.00% | 33.11% | 6.42% | 17.81% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Suffolk Central & Ipswich North | 42.48% | 16.09% | 14.74% | 8.85% | 16.13% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Suffolk Coastal | 39.72% | 12.16% | 14.97% | 10.79% | 21.46% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Suffolk South | 44.05% | 0.00% | 14.40% | 12.05% | 28.46% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Suffolk West | 45.64% | 0.00% | 14.50% | 8.95% | 25.26% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Thurrock | 29.13% | 0.00% | 30.83% | 2.27% | 29.78% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Watford | 34.26% | 11.12% | 28.54% | 13.44% | 9.28% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Waveney | 31.30% | 12.56% | 32.82% | 4.39% | 17.81% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Welwyn Hatfield | 49.56% | 10.00% | 20.27% | 6.03% | 12.73% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Witham | 39.54% | 16.23% | 15.25% | 6.34% | 21.58% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
North East seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Labour | 1 | 24 | 2 | 26 | +1 |
| Liberal Democrat | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| UKIP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
North East vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 32.24% | 0.81x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.39% | 6.39x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 38.29% | 1.36x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 7.93% | 0.33x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 13.33% | 3.81x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in North East:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | UKIP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Berwick-upon-Tweed | 38.10% | 22.86% | 19.16% | 15.69% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bishop Auckland | 20.85% | 52.27% | 7.14% | 10.10% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Blaydon | 13.50% | 71.06% | 10.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Blyth Valley | 12.57% | 56.86% | 8.27% | 15.27% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Darlington | 25.26% | 53.42% | 7.56% | 10.45% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Durham North | 15.48% | 62.82% | 6.23% | 11.28% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Durham North West | 15.66% | 56.00% | 7.86% | 10.52% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Durham, City of | 11.44% | 64.52% | 13.06% | 7.46% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Easington | 9.11% | 66.17% | 4.28% | 14.51% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Gateshead | 10.36% | 63.49% | 5.96% | 9.35% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hartlepool | 19.13% | 48.88% | 4.67% | 22.30% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hexham | 44.41% | 32.48% | 12.31% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Houghton & Sunderland South | 15.30% | 60.77% | 4.00% | 8.98% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Jarrow | 16.01% | 70.73% | 5.77% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Middlesbrough | 3.46% | 56.22% | 2.19% | 30.35% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Middlesbrough South & Cleveland East | 26.42% | 49.22% | 4.74% | 14.12% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Newcastle upon Tyne Central | 13.84% | 55.54% | 6.93% | 7.38% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Newcastle upon Tyne East | 12.86% | 61.06% | 10.74% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Newcastle upon Tyne North | 14.35% | 54.67% | 10.54% | 10.83% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Redcar | 12.03% | 47.81% | 16.65% | 18.23% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Sedgefield | 17.26% | 56.05% | 5.91% | 12.64% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| South Shields | 5.11% | 37.80% | 0.25% | 50.13% | Labour | UKIP | Labour |
| Stockton North | 18.71% | 52.22% | 4.66% | 13.28% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stockton South | 34.45% | 46.50% | 3.83% | 9.73% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Sunderland Central | 22.50% | 58.06% | 5.10% | 9.01% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Tynemouth | 25.00% | 55.65% | 4.36% | 5.81% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Tyneside North | 13.65% | 63.71% | 6.85% | 9.79% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wansbeck | 12.68% | 56.00% | 7.99% | 8.60% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Washington & Sunderland West | 15.42% | 62.68% | 4.85% | 11.20% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
South East seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 3 | 70 | 3 | 73 | 0 |
| Green | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| Labour | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 |
| Liberal Democrat | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Speaker | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| UKIP | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 |
South East vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 37.82% | 0.96x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.79% | 6.79x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 29.38% | 1.05x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 9.84% | 0.41x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| Speaker | 39.60% | 37.82% | 0.96x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 14.65% | 4.19x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in South East:
| Constituency | Conservative | Green | Labour | Liberal Democrat | Speaker | UKIP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Aldershot | 48.43% | 0.00% | 13.66% | 15.11% | 0.00% | 20.33% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Arundel & South Downs | 55.67% | 0.00% | 9.07% | 11.41% | 0.00% | 23.82% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ashford | 47.15% | 11.32% | 15.82% | 8.41% | 0.00% | 17.26% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Aylesbury | 48.48% | 0.00% | 12.75% | 11.19% | 0.00% | 27.54% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Banbury | 45.08% | 10.29% | 17.81% | 7.37% | 0.00% | 18.57% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Basingstoke | 49.74% | 0.00% | 21.87% | 10.22% | 0.00% | 17.60% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Beaconsfield | 52.91% | 8.97% | 11.03% | 7.18% | 0.00% | 18.70% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bexhill & Battle | 60.38% | 0.00% | 15.24% | 13.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bognor Regis & Littlehampton | 46.81% | 0.00% | 13.93% | 9.07% | 0.00% | 25.73% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bracknell | 46.26% | 9.83% | 16.15% | 8.33% | 0.00% | 16.96% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Brighton Kemptown | 27.71% | 28.17% | 27.72% | 5.57% | 0.00% | 10.32% | Conservative | Green | Labour |
| Brighton Pavilion | 7.94% | 76.56% | 10.62% | 1.97% | 0.00% | 2.69% | Green | Green | Green |
| Buckingham | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.95% | 47.06% | Speaker | UKIP | Speaker |
| Canterbury | 40.72% | 14.85% | 15.98% | 12.52% | 0.00% | 15.36% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chatham & Aylesford | 41.49% | 5.74% | 31.64% | 5.06% | 0.00% | 11.75% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chesham & Amersham | 56.48% | 9.68% | 5.72% | 11.29% | 0.00% | 16.56% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Chichester | 51.08% | 0.00% | 10.51% | 10.70% | 0.00% | 27.46% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Crawley | 39.77% | 7.91% | 31.25% | 5.42% | 0.00% | 11.27% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dartford | 45.61% | 0.00% | 28.07% | 5.82% | 0.00% | 15.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dover | 41.48% | 0.00% | 34.44% | 6.31% | 0.00% | 14.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Eastbourne | 48.80% | 0.00% | 6.28% | 25.34% | 0.00% | 13.15% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Eastleigh | 14.29% | 0.00% | 6.06% | 8.07% | 0.00% | 68.66% | Liberal Democrat | UKIP | Liberal Democrat |
| Epsom & Ewell | 55.25% | 0.00% | 12.75% | 11.17% | 0.00% | 19.90% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Esher & Walton | 60.00% | 0.00% | 11.86% | 10.71% | 0.00% | 14.52% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Fareham | 49.92% | 9.30% | 13.98% | 9.11% | 0.00% | 16.20% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Faversham & Kent Mid | 48.96% | 11.74% | 15.74% | 7.24% | 0.00% | 14.01% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Folkestone & Hythe | 46.21% | 7.97% | 11.03% | 11.98% | 0.00% | 18.83% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Gillingham & Rainham | 42.69% | 4.97% | 27.84% | 7.09% | 0.00% | 13.04% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Gosport | 47.78% | 7.97% | 17.02% | 8.23% | 0.00% | 12.83% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Gravesham | 40.30% | 8.38% | 26.10% | 4.68% | 0.00% | 17.34% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Guildford | 63.07% | 0.00% | 6.52% | 19.69% | 0.00% | 9.48% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hampshire East | 60.74% | 0.00% | 9.18% | 13.81% | 0.00% | 13.43% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hampshire North East | 60.10% | 0.00% | 10.56% | 10.69% | 0.00% | 18.08% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hampshire North West | 55.23% | 0.00% | 13.51% | 9.40% | 0.00% | 21.32% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hastings & Rye | 39.34% | 0.00% | 38.69% | 6.37% | 0.00% | 11.71% | Conservative | Conservative | Labour |
| Havant | 46.94% | 0.00% | 17.72% | 9.10% | 0.00% | 23.82% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Henley | 49.42% | 15.45% | 10.45% | 9.38% | 0.00% | 13.03% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Horsham | 49.73% | 6.81% | 7.71% | 12.86% | 0.00% | 20.91% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hove | 32.67% | 18.55% | 35.37% | 6.18% | 0.00% | 6.57% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Isle of Wight | 45.26% | 9.08% | 12.28% | 13.02% | 0.00% | 14.65% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Lewes | 39.46% | 11.11% | 5.89% | 24.97% | 0.00% | 16.24% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Maidenhead | 60.41% | 6.45% | 7.82% | 12.15% | 0.00% | 10.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Maidstone & The Weald | 47.82% | 9.43% | 10.58% | 15.18% | 0.00% | 14.53% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Meon Valley | 60.84% | 0.00% | 7.51% | 14.93% | 0.00% | 13.72% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Milton Keynes North | 39.55% | 8.76% | 26.60% | 8.51% | 0.00% | 13.05% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Milton Keynes South | 36.30% | 8.63% | 30.62% | 6.53% | 0.00% | 14.26% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Mole Valley | 51.45% | 10.42% | 6.82% | 10.88% | 0.00% | 19.75% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| New Forest East | 46.51% | 12.74% | 9.42% | 11.27% | 0.00% | 19.31% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| New Forest West | 48.40% | 12.96% | 8.79% | 8.12% | 0.00% | 20.99% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Newbury | 59.90% | 6.28% | 4.94% | 15.97% | 0.00% | 11.66% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Oxford East | 17.34% | 15.69% | 43.24% | 13.17% | 0.00% | 9.39% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Oxford West & Abingdon | 42.61% | 14.93% | 11.65% | 17.92% | 0.00% | 11.80% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Portsmouth North | 39.45% | 6.58% | 26.94% | 7.59% | 0.00% | 15.96% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Portsmouth South | 34.99% | 12.98% | 15.75% | 21.56% | 0.00% | 9.79% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Conservative |
| Reading East | 39.48% | 14.03% | 25.74% | 10.74% | 0.00% | 8.79% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Reading West | 39.13% | 7.85% | 30.16% | 7.71% | 0.00% | 12.54% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Reigate | 46.74% | 13.46% | 10.82% | 9.71% | 0.00% | 15.96% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rochester & Strood | 24.30% | 7.46% | 15.31% | 1.56% | 0.00% | 50.90% | UKIP | UKIP | Conservative |
| Romsey & Southampton North | 57.41% | 0.00% | 8.00% | 20.16% | 0.00% | 13.25% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Runnymede & Weybridge | 46.36% | 8.48% | 12.10% | 7.59% | 0.00% | 23.63% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Sevenoaks | 55.58% | 0.00% | 14.10% | 8.85% | 0.00% | 15.38% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Sittingbourne & Sheppey | 44.66% | 0.00% | 23.87% | 6.18% | 0.00% | 20.91% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Slough | 29.71% | 6.99% | 43.94% | 5.37% | 0.00% | 12.07% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Southampton Itchen | 30.43% | 8.08% | 34.76% | 7.27% | 0.00% | 18.07% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Southampton Test | 28.00% | 12.02% | 36.09% | 8.06% | 0.00% | 14.52% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Spelthorne | 40.47% | 0.00% | 15.43% | 9.42% | 0.00% | 31.78% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Surrey East | 51.50% | 0.00% | 8.91% | 9.94% | 0.00% | 27.31% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Surrey Heath | 53.22% | 0.00% | 10.28% | 10.10% | 0.00% | 25.43% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Surrey South West | 58.55% | 8.50% | 6.49% | 12.76% | 0.00% | 11.29% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Sussex Mid | 53.02% | 8.54% | 7.52% | 16.59% | 0.00% | 11.61% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Thanet North | 46.21% | 0.00% | 20.51% | 7.20% | 0.00% | 24.89% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Thanet South | 33.75% | 0.00% | 27.62% | 3.20% | 0.00% | 34.26% | Conservative | UKIP | UKIP |
| Tonbridge & Malling | 52.21% | 9.49% | 12.39% | 8.59% | 0.00% | 14.64% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Tunbridge Wells | 50.03% | 11.43% | 10.49% | 9.53% | 0.00% | 15.84% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wantage | 46.43% | 11.71% | 13.57% | 10.57% | 0.00% | 16.74% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wealden | 45.99% | 14.47% | 8.49% | 8.71% | 0.00% | 21.41% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Winchester | 57.99% | 0.00% | 7.10% | 21.80% | 0.00% | 10.61% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Windsor | 56.35% | 8.29% | 9.99% | 8.79% | 0.00% | 13.13% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Witney | 46.00% | 22.84% | 11.08% | 6.44% | 0.00% | 11.82% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Woking | 54.01% | 0.00% | 9.41% | 17.01% | 0.00% | 17.72% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wokingham | 51.32% | 7.16% | 10.72% | 11.54% | 0.00% | 12.95% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Worthing East & Shoreham | 39.39% | 13.37% | 14.80% | 8.79% | 0.00% | 21.85% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Worthing West | 43.59% | 12.08% | 10.84% | 9.94% | 0.00% | 21.87% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wycombe | 48.07% | 0.00% | 18.62% | 12.05% | 0.00% | 19.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
North West seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -9 |
| Labour | 1 | 46 | 15 | 61 | +14 |
| Liberal Democrat | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
| UKIP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
North West vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 32.24% | 0.81x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.39% | 6.39x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 38.29% | 1.36x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 7.93% | 0.33x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 13.33% | 3.81x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in North West:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | UKIP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Altrincham & Sale West | 44.01% | 33.57% | 9.17% | 13.24% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ashton Under Lyne | 17.37% | 57.43% | 4.19% | 14.40% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Barrow & Furness | 25.37% | 56.83% | 2.82% | 6.23% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Birkenhead | 14.31% | 79.89% | 5.64% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Blackburn | 19.55% | 60.43% | 4.58% | 7.24% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Blackley & Broughton | 12.96% | 64.95% | 4.05% | 8.65% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Blackpool North & Cleveleys | 36.57% | 41.22% | 3.49% | 14.60% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Blackpool South | 26.48% | 51.34% | 4.30% | 13.29% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bolton North East | 26.12% | 55.57% | 3.74% | 14.04% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bolton South East | 17.09% | 53.48% | 4.26% | 12.32% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bolton West | 27.53% | 46.76% | 4.97% | 13.42% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bootle | 5.56% | 70.09% | 3.80% | 17.78% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Burnley | 14.80% | 46.74% | 13.43% | 9.25% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Bury North | 32.15% | 46.90% | 5.45% | 10.62% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Bury South | 25.24% | 51.33% | 5.51% | 7.40% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Carlisle | 29.11% | 45.98% | 4.61% | 7.91% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Cheadle | 45.65% | 17.53% | 22.23% | 14.23% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Chester, City of | 32.51% | 44.82% | 6.42% | 9.65% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Chorley | 27.76% | 53.35% | 4.11% | 13.87% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Congleton | 42.25% | 26.47% | 11.78% | 18.15% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Copeland | 26.17% | 54.92% | 2.90% | 7.67% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Crewe & Nantwich | 37.64% | 43.50% | 4.44% | 11.74% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Denton & Reddish | 17.10% | 59.28% | 4.94% | 17.60% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Eddisbury | 44.17% | 30.69% | 7.70% | 16.91% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Ellesmere Port & Neston | 25.57% | 55.36% | 4.44% | 12.56% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Fylde | 41.12% | 25.87% | 6.95% | 16.30% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Garston & Halewood | 11.26% | 70.28% | 5.65% | 11.75% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Halton | 13.02% | 62.94% | 3.59% | 8.97% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hazel Grove | 33.65% | 20.88% | 20.63% | 23.95% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Heywood & Middleton | 4.26% | 23.95% | 0.71% | 62.76% | Labour | UKIP | Labour |
| Hyndburn | 23.43% | 48.08% | 3.28% | 11.24% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Knowsley | 5.89% | 78.67% | 3.53% | 7.87% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Lancashire West | 25.07% | 52.86% | 3.78% | 11.86% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Lancaster & Fleetwood | 23.66% | 38.56% | 5.02% | 7.29% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Leigh | 15.15% | 58.76% | 5.29% | 11.72% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Liverpool Riverside | 6.87% | 62.93% | 5.75% | 5.10% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Liverpool Walton | 4.26% | 79.42% | 3.74% | 7.99% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Liverpool Wavertree | 5.44% | 65.44% | 10.03% | 8.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Liverpool West Derby | 6.09% | 71.42% | 3.32% | 9.41% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Macclesfield | 38.01% | 27.37% | 7.47% | 10.67% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Makerfield | 14.64% | 62.40% | 5.08% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Manchester Central | 2.41% | 62.36% | 2.02% | 11.23% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Manchester Gorton | 8.11% | 62.37% | 9.67% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Manchester Withington | 9.23% | 56.21% | 15.66% | 6.02% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Morecambe & Lunesdale | 28.77% | 45.61% | 3.70% | 13.68% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Oldham East & Saddleworth | 8.97% | 49.79% | 8.99% | 18.99% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Oldham West & Royton | 17.51% | 56.88% | 5.69% | 11.19% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Pendle | 35.63% | 38.70% | 7.15% | 10.99% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Penrith & The Border | 51.58% | 20.82% | 11.01% | 12.55% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Preston | 15.83% | 59.38% | 7.16% | 15.33% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Ribble Valley | 39.30% | 28.69% | 6.42% | 24.31% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rochdale | 14.67% | 49.85% | 11.23% | 16.51% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Rossendale & Darwen | 33.33% | 42.84% | 5.79% | 12.74% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Salford & Eccles | 16.31% | 54.05% | 8.44% | 9.73% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Sefton Central | 25.35% | 52.91% | 5.99% | 14.81% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| South Ribble | 35.04% | 44.50% | 4.36% | 13.21% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Southport | 36.54% | 16.05% | 21.37% | 24.53% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| St Helens North | 15.65% | 61.31% | 5.69% | 15.46% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| St Helens South & Whiston | 13.16% | 66.04% | 6.61% | 9.19% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stalybridge & Hyde | 22.93% | 46.67% | 4.78% | 10.70% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stockport | 18.51% | 52.71% | 7.35% | 7.53% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Stretford & Urmston | 18.96% | 54.28% | 4.50% | 10.38% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Tatton | 54.19% | 28.52% | 8.96% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wallasey | 22.41% | 62.53% | 3.93% | 9.66% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Warrington North | 24.89% | 63.39% | 6.89% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Warrington South | 29.13% | 44.67% | 8.96% | 11.21% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Weaver Vale | 29.85% | 46.80% | 5.78% | 8.34% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Westmorland & Lonsdale | 48.87% | 5.08% | 34.24% | 9.82% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Wigan | 16.68% | 55.29% | 4.18% | 17.98% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wirral South | 29.91% | 52.26% | 5.05% | 11.32% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wirral West | 38.26% | 46.21% | 4.15% | 7.73% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Workington | 25.14% | 57.14% | 4.05% | 7.75% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Worsley & Eccles South | 23.16% | 51.68% | 4.73% | 16.28% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wyre & Preston North | 43.52% | 29.48% | 7.15% | 18.58% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wythenshawe & Sale East | 6.49% | 41.84% | 0.88% | 37.55% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
Yorkshire and the Humber seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 5 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -5 |
| Labour | 1 | 30 | 8 | 38 | +7 |
| Liberal Democrat | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Respect | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| UKIP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Yorkshire and the Humber vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Conservative | 39.60% | 34.77% | 0.88x | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Green | 1.00% | 6.21% | 6.21x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Labour | 28.10% | 33.26% | 1.18x | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Liberal Democrat | 24.20% | 8.57% | 0.35x | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| UKIP | 3.50% | 15.04% | 4.30x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in Yorkshire and the Humber:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | Respect | UKIP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Barnsley Central | 4.88% | 48.98% | 1.00% | 0.00% | 35.31% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Barnsley East | 13.11% | 50.94% | 5.82% | 0.00% | 17.55% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Batley & Spen | 29.43% | 50.36% | 5.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Beverley & Holderness | 40.79% | 24.50% | 7.88% | 0.00% | 14.62% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Bradford East | 28.82% | 47.48% | 15.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Labour |
| Bradford South | 24.45% | 47.20% | 6.19% | 0.00% | 14.48% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Bradford West | 6.10% | 24.54% | 1.35% | 47.53% | 11.79% | Respect | Respect | Respect |
| Brigg & Goole | 37.80% | 37.44% | 4.94% | 0.00% | 16.35% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Calder Valley | 34.63% | 31.80% | 8.88% | 0.00% | 9.70% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Cleethorpes | 32.89% | 34.10% | 5.71% | 0.00% | 27.00% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Colne Valley | 34.45% | 33.37% | 8.64% | 0.00% | 10.86% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dewsbury | 31.06% | 38.31% | 6.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Don Valley | 24.19% | 42.12% | 5.62% | 0.00% | 17.50% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Doncaster Central | 21.15% | 46.15% | 7.26% | 0.00% | 14.22% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Doncaster North | 16.52% | 50.61% | 4.71% | 0.00% | 16.64% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Elmet & Rothwell | 37.38% | 40.61% | 5.75% | 0.00% | 12.19% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Great Grimsby | 23.75% | 38.06% | 6.00% | 0.00% | 24.16% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Halifax | 30.96% | 46.35% | 7.03% | 0.00% | 6.69% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Haltemprice & Howden | 50.60% | 21.15% | 10.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Harrogate & Knaresborough | 54.09% | 10.19% | 20.78% | 0.00% | 11.44% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Hemsworth | 21.68% | 56.76% | 4.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Huddersfield | 22.14% | 42.13% | 7.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hull East | 12.12% | 47.74% | 6.72% | 0.00% | 28.74% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hull North | 11.08% | 45.09% | 12.70% | 0.00% | 16.87% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Hull West & Hessle | 16.28% | 46.63% | 7.88% | 0.00% | 21.14% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Keighley | 35.95% | 41.14% | 5.09% | 0.00% | 12.86% | Conservative | Labour | Labour |
| Leeds Central | 18.71% | 62.26% | 7.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leeds East | 21.05% | 62.33% | 6.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leeds North East | 29.60% | 51.94% | 7.06% | 0.00% | 7.75% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Leeds North West | 28.37% | 30.23% | 21.47% | 0.00% | 7.21% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Liberal Democrat |
| Leeds West | 13.80% | 40.30% | 6.82% | 0.00% | 10.07% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Morley & Outwood | 30.06% | 43.54% | 5.75% | 0.00% | 12.83% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Normanton, Pontefract & Castleford | 22.20% | 59.56% | 6.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Penistone & Stocksbridge | 26.18% | 43.14% | 7.13% | 0.00% | 17.09% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Pudsey | 37.22% | 41.64% | 6.84% | 0.00% | 10.07% | Conservative | Labour | Conservative |
| Richmond (Yorks) | 56.12% | 18.29% | 6.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Rother Valley | 22.11% | 43.40% | 5.44% | 0.00% | 21.29% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Rotherham | 2.65% | 31.12% | 0.42% | 4.64% | 52.16% | Labour | UKIP | Labour |
| Scarborough & Whitby | 36.36% | 29.99% | 7.67% | 0.00% | 12.44% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Scunthorpe | 25.18% | 41.51% | 5.69% | 0.00% | 17.18% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Selby & Ainsty | 44.12% | 30.79% | 6.36% | 0.00% | 13.74% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough | 9.06% | 59.08% | 6.35% | 0.00% | 15.84% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Sheffield Central | 8.37% | 46.46% | 13.63% | 0.00% | 6.35% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Sheffield Hallam | 19.39% | 29.25% | 29.24% | 0.00% | 9.28% | Liberal Democrat | Labour | Liberal Democrat |
| Sheffield Heeley | 13.34% | 44.65% | 8.81% | 0.00% | 14.10% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Sheffield South East | 14.06% | 53.63% | 7.61% | 0.00% | 18.05% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Shipley | 41.53% | 32.63% | 6.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Skipton & Ripon | 51.08% | 13.61% | 13.13% | 0.00% | 17.15% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Thirsk & Malton | 44.72% | 15.37% | 7.91% | 0.00% | 27.01% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Wakefield | 29.99% | 44.99% | 5.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| Wentworth & Dearne | 12.28% | 48.20% | 4.55% | 0.00% | 27.78% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| York Central | 19.69% | 41.08% | 7.66% | 0.00% | 8.74% | Labour | Labour | Labour |
| York Outer | 45.81% | 24.43% | 15.42% | 0.00% | 10.71% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
| Yorkshire East | 39.05% | 22.39% | 6.98% | 0.00% | 16.74% | Conservative | Conservative | Conservative |
Northern Ireland seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Alliance Party | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| DUP | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| SDLP | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sinn Fein | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
| Sylvia Hermon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| UUP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Northern Ireland vote share multiplying factors:
| Party | 2010 % | Predicted % | Multiplier | Party incumbency bonus % | Candidate incumbency bonus % |
| Alliance Party | 6.00% | 7.80% | 1.30x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| DUP | 25.00% | 24.92% | 1.00x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| SDLP | 16.00% | 17.45% | 1.09x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Sinn Fein | 26.00% | 23.89% | 0.92x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| UUP | 15.00% | 15.31% | 1.02x | 2.50% | 2.50% |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in Northern Ireland:
| Constituency | Alliance Party | DUP | SDLP | Sinn Fein | Sylvia Hermon | UUP | 2010 Result | My 2015 Prediction | Bookie 2015 Prediction |
| Antrim East | 13.78% | 44.89% | 6.91% | 5.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Antrim North | 4.12% | 46.57% | 9.44% | 11.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Antrim South | 9.70% | 33.73% | 9.22% | 12.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Belfast East | 38.46% | 33.51% | 0.96% | 1.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Alliance Party | Alliance Party | DUP |
| Belfast North | 6.30% | 40.58% | 13.29% | 31.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Belfast South | 17.77% | 21.59% | 41.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | SDLP | SDLP | SDLP |
| Belfast West | 0.00% | 6.23% | 15.10% | 68.50% | 0.00% | 1.76% | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein |
| Down North | 7.00% | 0.00% | 2.13% | 0.66% | 62.36% | 0.00% | Sylvia Hermon | Sylvia Hermon | Sylvia Hermon |
| Down South | 1.64% | 8.19% | 51.99% | 25.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | SDLP | SDLP | SDLP |
| Fermanagh & South Tyrone | 1.21% | 0.00% | 8.34% | 42.96% | 0.00% | 46.55% | Sinn Fein | UUP | Sinn Fein |
| Foyle | 0.74% | 11.41% | 48.24% | 28.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | SDLP | SDLP | SDLP |
| Lagan Valley | 14.06% | 48.20% | 5.18% | 3.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Londonderry East | 6.92% | 34.23% | 16.30% | 17.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Newry & Armagh | 1.56% | 12.68% | 25.32% | 39.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein |
| Strangford | 10.71% | 44.43% | 6.87% | 3.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
| Tyrone West | 2.98% | 19.57% | 15.15% | 45.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein |
| Ulster Mid | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.20% | 44.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein | Sinn Fein |
| Upper Bann | 3.78% | 33.82% | 13.60% | 22.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | DUP | DUP | DUP |
