Sunday 10 April 2016

What the bookies think: Next US president in 2016 election (2016-04-10 update)

Odds given across various bookmakers (10bet, 32red, 888sport, bet365, betdaq, betfair, betfred, betvictor, betway, boylesports, bwin, coral, ladbrokes, marathon bet, matchbook, netbet, paddypower, skybet, sportingbet, stanjames, totesport, unibet, williamhill, winner) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.

Position Candidate Chance implied by odds Change (since 2016-03-19) Notes
1 Hillary Clinton 67.78% -3.39% US Secretary of State 2009-2013
2 Donald Trump 15.72% -10.38% You can't stump the Trump
3 Bernie Sanders 10.51% +6.39% Vermont Senator
4 Ted Cruz 8.28% +4.88% Texas Senator
5 John Kasich 3.45% -0.68% Governor of Ohio
6 Paul Ryan 2.35% +1.55% Speaker of the US House of Representatives
7 Joe Biden 2.10% +0.40% US Vice President
8 Mitt Romney 0.64% -0.10% Governor of Massachusetts 2003-2007
9 Michael Bloomberg 0.40% +0.05% Mayor of NYC 2002-2013
10 Marco Rubio 0.38% +0.04% Florida Senator
11 Ben Carson 0.30% +0.04% Director of Padiatric Neurosurgery 1984-2013

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