Table of what bookies thinking in aggregate on the chances each candidate has at being next UK Labour Party leader:
| Position | Candidate | Chance implied by odds | Change (since 2015-05-11) |
| 1 | Chuka Umunna | 41.46% | +4.87% |
| 2 | Andy Burnham | 26.95% | -1.84% |
| 3 | Yvette Cooper | 16.09% | -1.26% |
| 4 | Liz Kendall | 15.06% | +0.22% |
| 5 | Tristram Hunt | 11.00% | -0.22% |
| 6 | David Miliband | 3.82% | -0.50% |
| 7 | Rachel Reeves | 3.73% | -0.27% |
| 8 | Dan Jarvis | 3.39% | -1.41% |
| 9 | Stella Creasey | 3.09% | -0.54% |
| 10 | Mary Creagh | 2.60% | +0.51% |
| 11 | Harriet Harman | 2.57% | -0.21% |
| 12 | Owen Smith | 2.52% | -0.20% |
| 13 | Chris Leslie | 2.26% | 0.00% |
| 14 | Rushanara Ali | 2.06% | -0.04% |
| 15 | Lisa Nandy | 2.06% | -0.09% |
| 16 | Alan Johnson | 2.04% | +0.20% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 17 | Lucy Powell | 1.96% | 0.00% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 18 | Jim Murphy | 1.88% | +0.16% |
| 19 | David Lammy | 1.87% | +0.79% |
| 20 | Jon Cruddas | 1.84% | +0.21% |
| 21 | Gloria de Piero | 1.82% | -0.04% |
| 22 | Sadiq Khan | 1.72% | +0.07% |
| 23 | Caroline Flint | 1.63% | 0.00% |
| 24 | Ed Balls | 1.57% | -0.52% |
| 25 | Ben Bradshaw | 1.51% | -0.31% |
| - | |||
| 26 | Tom Watson | 1.49% | -0.20% |
| 26 | Chris Bryant | 1.49% | 0.00% |
| 26 | Luciana Berger | 1.49% | 0.00% |
| 26 | Vernon Coaker | 1.49% | -0.20% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 30 | Stephen Kinnock | 1.41% | 0.00% |
| 31 | Michael Dugher | 1.40% | -0.09% |
| 32 | Keir Starmer | 1.18% | +0.08% |
| 33 | Tony Blair | 1.06% | -0.05% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 34 | John McDonnell | 0.99% | 0.00% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 34 | Dianne Abbott | 0.99% | -0.07% |
| 34 | John Healey | 0.99% | 0.00% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 34 | Ian Lavery | 0.99% | 0.00% |
| - | |||
| - | |||
| - | |||
| 34 | Alison McGovern | 0.99% | 0.00% |
| 39 | Hilary Benn | 0.98% | -0.04% |
| 40 | Alistair Darling | 0.93% | -0.30% |
| 41 | Steve Reed | 0.78% | +0.18% |
| 42 | Liam Byrne | 0.75% | -0.02% |
| 43 | Angela Eagle | 0.75% | +0.23% |
| 44 | Douglas Alexander | 0.68% | -0.02% |
| 45 | Gordon Brown | 0.66% | -0.04% |
| 46 | James Purnell | 0.39% | -1.03% |
| 47 | Will Straw | 0.27% | 0.00% |
Odds given across various bookmakers (bet365, skybet, totesport, boylesports, betfred, sportingbet, betvictor, paddypower, stanjames, 888sport, ladbrokes, coral, williamhill, winner, spreadex, betfair, betway, titanbet, unibet, bwin, 32red, betdaq, matchbook) are meaned and then inverted to give the rough chance bookies as a gestalt reckon each candidate has.
If an entry is crossed out no bookies are no longer giving odds on the candidate.
No comments:
Post a Comment