Here are my latest results predictions for the UK 2015 General Election...
Seat change summary:
| Party |
Seats Lost |
Seats Held |
Seats Won |
Total Seats |
| Sinn Fein |
1 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
| Plaid Cymru |
0 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
| SDLP |
0 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
| Alliance Party |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
| Speaker |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| UKIP |
0 |
2 |
8 |
10 |
| UUP |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| Conservative |
55 |
248 |
32 |
280 |
| Sylvia Hermon |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
| Labour |
31 |
227 |
66 |
293 |
| Green |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| SNP |
0 |
6 |
34 |
40 |
| Respect |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
| DUP |
0 |
8 |
0 |
8 |
| Liberal Democrat |
56 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
How I've come to this is by taking the actual 2010 results for each region in the UK and comparing them to moving averages of the latest poll results for each region. The ratio of these gives a multiplying factor that I apply to each constituency 2010 result to give a 2015 prediction. The factors used for these predictions are:
Scotland vote share multiplying factors:
| Party |
2010 % |
Predicted % |
Multiplier |
| UKIP |
0.70% |
3.80% |
5.43x |
| Conservative |
16.70% |
16.12% |
0.97x |
| Labour |
42.00% |
27.81% |
0.66x |
| Liberal Democrat |
18.90% |
4.93% |
0.26x |
| SNP |
19.90% |
42.25% |
2.12x |
| Green |
0.70% |
3.54% |
5.06x |
London vote share multiplying factors:
| Party |
2010 % |
Predicted % |
Multiplier |
| Liberal Democrat |
22.10% |
10.18% |
0.46x |
| Labour |
36.60% |
42.72% |
1.17x |
| Green |
1.60% |
3.97% |
2.48x |
| UKIP |
1.70% |
8.10% |
4.76x |
| Conservative |
34.50% |
32.86% |
0.95x |
Rest of England vote share multiplying factors:
| Party |
2010 % |
Predicted % |
Multiplier |
| Speaker |
39.60% |
35.22% |
0.89x |
| UKIP |
3.50% |
13.57% |
3.88x |
| Conservative |
39.60% |
35.22% |
0.89x |
| Labour |
28.10% |
32.45% |
1.15x |
| Green |
1.00% |
7.00% |
7.00x |
| Liberal Democrat |
24.20% |
9.65% |
0.40x |
Northern Ireland vote share multiplying factors:
| Party |
2010 % |
Predicted % |
Multiplier |
| DUP |
25.00% |
24.92% |
1.00x |
| Alliance |
6.00% |
7.80% |
1.30x |
| SDLP |
16.00% |
17.45% |
1.09x |
| Sinn Fein |
26.00% |
23.89% |
0.92x |
| UUP |
15.00% |
15.31% |
1.02x |
Wales vote share multiplying factors:
| Party |
2010 % |
Predicted % |
Multiplier |
| UKIP |
2.40% |
10.79% |
4.50x |
| Conservative |
26.10% |
23.42% |
0.90x |
| Labour |
36.20% |
41.05% |
1.13x |
| Liberal Democrat |
20.10% |
8.59% |
0.43x |
| Plaid Cymru |
11.30% |
11.28% |
1.00x |
| Green |
0.40% |
3.13% |
7.83x |
Here are the individual seat predictions:
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in East Midlands:
| Constituency |
Conservative |
Labour |
UKIP |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Leicestershire South |
45.71% |
25.04% |
14.67% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Chesterfield |
14.18% |
45.66% |
12.27% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Derby North |
31.15% |
42.19% |
7.88% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Louth & Horncastle |
45.49% |
20.64% |
17.27% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| High Peak |
33.52% |
33.64% |
12.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Northampton North |
30.19% |
33.68% |
11.86% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Ashfield |
22.34% |
44.04% |
8.49% |
Labour |
Labour |
| South Holland & The Deepings |
45.82% |
14.10% |
21.88% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Kettering |
48.33% |
38.21% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bassetlaw |
27.99% |
54.11% |
12.92% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sleaford & North Hykeham |
47.17% |
20.04% |
14.48% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Derbyshire North East |
27.97% |
42.05% |
20.74% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Rushcliffe |
40.98% |
21.56% |
14.17% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Northamptonshire South |
47.67% |
19.42% |
15.12% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Newark |
21.40% |
10.91% |
53.69% |
Conservative |
UKIP |
| Northampton South |
33.50% |
27.09% |
17.41% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Leicester South |
13.17% |
65.42% |
11.04% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Loughborough |
38.73% |
41.72% |
7.11% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Gedling |
32.39% |
46.42% |
11.47% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Lincoln |
34.68% |
42.26% |
8.85% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Nottingham North |
20.62% |
52.40% |
14.14% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Amber Valley |
34.85% |
43.89% |
7.76% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Derby South |
24.25% |
47.94% |
16.42% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Broxtowe |
33.72% |
42.95% |
8.53% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Derbyshire Mid |
45.67% |
30.03% |
10.90% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Erewash |
34.15% |
38.45% |
6.77% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Bolsover |
20.40% |
53.90% |
14.16% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Nottingham East |
17.89% |
44.49% |
11.31% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sherwood |
34.04% |
43.72% |
11.51% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Mansfield |
20.84% |
39.83% |
21.29% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Daventry |
47.08% |
17.07% |
16.37% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Corby |
15.84% |
37.49% |
37.24% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Leicester East |
19.51% |
55.77% |
5.26% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Harborough |
50.60% |
17.05% |
11.99% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Leicestershire North West |
40.98% |
35.94% |
8.75% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bosworth |
45.30% |
22.06% |
9.37% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Charnwood |
46.67% |
24.04% |
13.78% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Grantham & Stamford |
48.02% |
22.32% |
12.65% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Derbyshire South |
41.48% |
37.13% |
9.51% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Gainsborough |
47.21% |
19.45% |
17.52% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Nottingham South |
27.79% |
40.85% |
8.72% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Rutland & Melton |
47.80% |
17.35% |
18.65% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Leicester West |
22.34% |
40.99% |
8.84% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wellingborough |
41.18% |
28.18% |
11.79% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Boston & Skegness |
37.83% |
20.50% |
31.56% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Derbyshire Dales |
44.16% |
21.31% |
14.05% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in West Midlands:
| Constituency |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
Labour |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Solihull |
21.89% |
48.47% |
13.12% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Stoke-on-Trent South |
6.05% |
24.16% |
42.83% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Coventry South |
6.43% |
26.61% |
43.22% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Staffordshire Moorlands |
5.84% |
35.15% |
30.22% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Redditch |
6.66% |
36.66% |
33.12% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Worcester |
7.22% |
32.73% |
35.96% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Wolverhampton South West |
6.13% |
34.76% |
43.23% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Stourbridge |
5.97% |
34.71% |
33.53% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hereford & Herefordshire South |
20.07% |
50.34% |
10.25% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Dudley North |
3.49% |
27.30% |
37.07% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Walsall North |
4.78% |
27.82% |
39.01% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Herefordshire North |
10.93% |
40.74% |
7.24% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Tamworth |
6.13% |
38.62% |
35.77% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Staffordshire South |
6.41% |
45.51% |
22.56% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Stafford |
6.03% |
36.10% |
35.27% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Erdington |
6.43% |
28.97% |
48.24% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wyre Forest |
4.70% |
32.60% |
16.44% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wolverhampton South East |
5.09% |
21.33% |
46.13% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dudley South |
5.44% |
33.32% |
33.12% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Perry Barr |
8.43% |
18.25% |
55.93% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stoke-on-Trent North |
6.27% |
18.81% |
45.42% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Birmingham Ladywood |
9.73% |
9.43% |
57.12% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Newcastle-under-Lyme |
6.82% |
26.69% |
38.28% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stone |
8.39% |
42.20% |
22.41% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Coventry North East |
6.36% |
18.92% |
54.67% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sutton Coldfield |
6.99% |
46.69% |
22.87% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Stratford-on-Avon |
12.07% |
47.70% |
11.43% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Yardley |
18.01% |
19.47% |
42.46% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Worcestershire Mid |
8.66% |
45.03% |
16.03% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cannock Chase |
6.72% |
35.41% |
37.94% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Burton |
6.37% |
39.97% |
37.16% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Northfield |
5.76% |
27.57% |
42.89% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ludlow |
13.85% |
49.76% |
8.22% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Warwickshire North |
4.44% |
34.30% |
44.42% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Wolverhampton North East |
5.09% |
28.85% |
45.24% |
Labour |
Labour |
| West Bromwich West |
4.32% |
23.58% |
46.92% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Telford |
5.57% |
29.10% |
40.25% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Birmingham Selly Oak |
8.47% |
26.36% |
42.47% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Warwick & Leamington |
6.96% |
36.10% |
38.99% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Shropshire North |
7.71% |
42.24% |
19.33% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wrekin, The |
6.78% |
41.31% |
30.52% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Nuneaton |
6.58% |
39.76% |
45.86% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Walsall South |
4.81% |
26.36% |
38.38% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Warley |
5.26% |
18.78% |
52.04% |
Labour |
Labour |
| West Bromwich East |
4.99% |
24.42% |
51.09% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Worcestershire West |
16.34% |
48.48% |
8.47% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Stoke-on-Trent Central |
8.25% |
17.87% |
42.81% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Kenilworth & Southam |
11.65% |
50.36% |
17.51% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bromsgrove |
7.56% |
37.58% |
24.34% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Hodge Hill |
11.63% |
10.87% |
63.14% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Shrewsbury & Atcham |
11.90% |
40.26% |
24.48% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Rugby |
8.15% |
40.28% |
37.29% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Halesowen & Rowley Regis |
5.30% |
32.91% |
37.96% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Meriden |
6.89% |
44.66% |
23.03% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Coventry North West |
6.66% |
24.28% |
46.05% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Aldridge-Brownhills |
7.12% |
53.26% |
23.08% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Edgbaston |
5.84% |
31.87% |
44.76% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Lichfield |
7.86% |
47.44% |
22.47% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Birmingham Hall Green |
10.40% |
14.16% |
40.28% |
Labour |
Labour |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in South West:
| Constituency |
Conservative |
Labour |
Liberal Democrat |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Cotswolds, The |
46.87% |
12.32% |
11.72% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Totnes |
37.74% |
7.90% |
13.12% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Exeter |
26.58% |
39.97% |
7.32% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bristol North West |
35.97% |
31.91% |
13.36% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bristol West |
16.41% |
31.91% |
19.24% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Somerset North |
50.42% |
14.79% |
16.38% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Chippenham |
43.35% |
9.48% |
21.67% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Devon South West |
46.48% |
13.39% |
8.99% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bridgwater & Somerset West |
38.72% |
19.02% |
10.85% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Newton Abbot |
38.62% |
8.18% |
16.88% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Filton & Bradley Stoke |
36.48% |
30.73% |
10.13% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Gloucester |
33.41% |
38.21% |
7.22% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Cheltenham |
50.43% |
8.14% |
27.73% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Bath |
33.47% |
9.57% |
27.08% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Torbay |
37.95% |
8.36% |
20.66% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Weston-Super-Mare |
48.01% |
15.41% |
19.05% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Forest of Dean |
37.17% |
24.90% |
7.78% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Somerset North East |
34.75% |
34.63% |
8.43% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Dorset South |
37.31% |
32.54% |
7.05% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Devon West & Torridge |
41.02% |
6.16% |
16.24% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Salisbury |
49.13% |
9.87% |
16.52% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bristol East |
23.23% |
38.98% |
8.98% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dorset Mid & Poole North |
48.14% |
8.24% |
21.86% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Cornwall South East |
39.71% |
8.08% |
15.25% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wiltshire South West |
48.49% |
13.96% |
12.84% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Devon Central |
44.89% |
7.81% |
13.43% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Dorset West |
47.19% |
8.57% |
18.12% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Truro & Falmouth |
38.93% |
11.67% |
17.08% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Plymouth Moor View |
24.54% |
35.52% |
5.57% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stroud |
31.45% |
38.59% |
5.33% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Plymouth Sutton & Devonport |
25.76% |
30.90% |
8.31% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Tewkesbury |
44.66% |
14.24% |
15.06% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Devon East |
38.83% |
11.24% |
11.23% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| St Austell & Newquay |
42.96% |
10.01% |
20.60% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Bournemouth East |
43.90% |
15.60% |
12.55% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cornwall North |
45.43% |
5.95% |
23.48% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Tiverton & Honiton |
43.54% |
10.05% |
12.93% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Yeovil |
38.16% |
7.88% |
28.97% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Camborne & Redruth |
33.79% |
19.08% |
15.09% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Dorset North |
48.14% |
6.58% |
15.63% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Devizes |
47.52% |
11.39% |
10.45% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Somerton & Frome |
51.25% |
6.60% |
24.53% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Devon North |
32.78% |
6.15% |
19.33% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Wiltshire North |
49.07% |
8.22% |
15.44% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Swindon North |
37.07% |
32.97% |
6.43% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bristol South |
18.70% |
40.74% |
10.49% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Thornbury & Yate |
42.83% |
10.51% |
26.83% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Christchurch |
47.87% |
10.81% |
9.60% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Kingswood |
34.05% |
38.64% |
6.36% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| St Ives |
32.87% |
8.94% |
16.16% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Poole |
45.00% |
15.67% |
13.42% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Taunton Deane |
48.08% |
7.55% |
25.07% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Bournemouth West |
40.51% |
17.26% |
12.77% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wells |
43.63% |
10.01% |
20.22% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Swindon South |
33.31% |
35.47% |
6.30% |
Conservative |
Labour |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in Eastern:
| Constituency |
Conservative |
Labour |
UKIP |
Liberal Democrat |
Green |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Ipswich |
31.92% |
36.75% |
10.34% |
6.66% |
10.59% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Castle Point |
42.50% |
18.41% |
0.00% |
4.07% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bedfordshire Mid |
44.52% |
16.27% |
19.04% |
9.47% |
9.39% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Basildon South & Thurrock East |
35.81% |
32.82% |
20.99% |
4.89% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Witham |
37.59% |
17.28% |
20.51% |
6.38% |
17.16% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Stevenage |
35.18% |
36.84% |
16.62% |
6.34% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Bury St Edmunds |
34.61% |
15.75% |
16.24% |
8.63% |
24.60% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Luton South |
25.79% |
39.78% |
8.84% |
8.92% |
5.99% |
Labour |
Labour |
| St Albans |
37.40% |
20.95% |
15.36% |
14.98% |
10.36% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Clacton |
7.78% |
4.59% |
82.22% |
0.19% |
4.83% |
UKIP |
UKIP |
| Hertsmere |
47.44% |
20.64% |
13.37% |
6.59% |
8.51% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Chelmsford |
46.67% |
14.38% |
12.33% |
16.68% |
6.93% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Waveney |
28.97% |
36.21% |
16.48% |
4.30% |
12.92% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Broxbourne |
52.12% |
20.27% |
16.00% |
5.32% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Harwich & Essex North |
37.85% |
20.89% |
18.13% |
8.53% |
11.77% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Great Yarmouth |
34.26% |
34.24% |
16.62% |
5.12% |
6.03% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Welwyn Hatfield |
46.98% |
22.90% |
12.06% |
6.05% |
10.55% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Southend West |
40.69% |
15.39% |
15.14% |
11.64% |
10.26% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hertfordshire North East |
45.17% |
18.01% |
15.14% |
8.85% |
11.52% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Peterborough |
31.06% |
29.52% |
22.46% |
6.77% |
7.05% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Epping Forest |
46.28% |
15.87% |
14.86% |
8.27% |
9.54% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Thurrock |
27.82% |
35.93% |
24.37% |
3.62% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Bedfordshire South West |
48.23% |
23.24% |
16.80% |
8.20% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Broadland |
41.36% |
16.08% |
17.65% |
12.99% |
10.05% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hitchin & Harpenden |
49.46% |
15.94% |
12.01% |
10.84% |
10.51% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Rayleigh & Wickford |
51.52% |
16.75% |
16.41% |
6.04% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cambridge |
17.51% |
21.58% |
7.11% |
12.01% |
40.84% |
Liberal Democrat |
Green |
| Suffolk Coastal |
37.85% |
17.00% |
20.45% |
10.89% |
12.89% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cambridgeshire North West |
41.60% |
18.13% |
29.75% |
8.08% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Norfolk South West |
37.89% |
18.89% |
21.29% |
7.59% |
10.41% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Suffolk South |
42.55% |
16.58% |
27.48% |
12.32% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Huntingdon |
41.79% |
12.24% |
22.39% |
11.09% |
8.08% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cambridgeshire South East |
46.31% |
9.53% |
15.63% |
16.30% |
10.10% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bedford |
33.96% |
40.70% |
9.59% |
7.77% |
5.98% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Norfolk North West |
46.63% |
14.84% |
14.44% |
8.96% |
10.54% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Colchester |
33.54% |
16.31% |
13.01% |
21.96% |
12.07% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Harlow |
38.70% |
37.68% |
13.63% |
5.28% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Luton North |
24.45% |
49.22% |
12.20% |
3.84% |
6.89% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Watford |
31.78% |
31.56% |
8.61% |
13.20% |
11.47% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Maldon |
53.64% |
14.75% |
19.96% |
7.76% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Norfolk Mid |
37.37% |
17.11% |
18.16% |
7.51% |
17.04% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Rochford & Southend East |
36.48% |
20.54% |
19.61% |
6.78% |
10.40% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Braintree |
42.81% |
20.99% |
17.85% |
6.85% |
9.33% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bedfordshire North East |
52.09% |
19.55% |
16.81% |
9.08% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Suffolk Central & Ipswich North |
40.35% |
16.68% |
15.31% |
8.90% |
16.99% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Norfolk North |
32.97% |
7.78% |
24.19% |
25.58% |
8.27% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Hertford & Stortford |
53.17% |
17.65% |
13.34% |
11.49% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Norfolk South |
42.71% |
14.82% |
15.98% |
11.43% |
12.38% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Norwich South |
11.23% |
18.26% |
5.14% |
6.45% |
57.49% |
Liberal Democrat |
Green |
| Hemel Hempstead |
48.39% |
26.17% |
10.70% |
9.93% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cambridgeshire North East |
45.59% |
20.44% |
20.65% |
7.94% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Suffolk West |
43.99% |
16.66% |
24.34% |
9.14% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Brentwood & Ongar |
50.71% |
11.42% |
15.64% |
9.38% |
8.09% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Basildon & Billericay |
47.20% |
26.79% |
14.94% |
6.31% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hertfordshire South West |
55.51% |
15.28% |
11.40% |
12.82% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Saffron Walden |
49.49% |
11.27% |
15.94% |
10.97% |
9.49% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Norwich North |
29.93% |
30.09% |
14.18% |
6.04% |
16.96% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Cambridgeshire South |
44.06% |
12.31% |
12.85% |
14.22% |
12.86% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in North East:
| Constituency |
Labour |
Conservative |
Liberal Democrat |
UKIP |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Blaydon |
64.83% |
16.03% |
13.23% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Durham, City of |
57.81% |
13.35% |
16.97% |
8.11% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Tyneside North |
57.68% |
16.09% |
9.00% |
10.76% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sedgefield |
49.99% |
20.04% |
7.64% |
13.68% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wansbeck |
49.52% |
14.59% |
10.25% |
9.23% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stockton South |
43.33% |
33.94% |
5.91% |
11.12% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Gateshead |
57.46% |
12.21% |
7.82% |
10.27% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hartlepool |
43.03% |
21.92% |
5.97% |
23.82% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Tynemouth |
49.17% |
28.76% |
5.58% |
6.23% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Berwick-upon-Tweed |
18.74% |
40.26% |
21.49% |
15.46% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Newcastle upon Tyne North |
48.06% |
16.43% |
13.44% |
11.55% |
Labour |
Labour |
| South Shields |
33.26% |
5.86% |
0.32% |
53.53% |
Labour |
UKIP |
| Durham North West |
49.81% |
18.14% |
10.14% |
11.36% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Newcastle upon Tyne East |
54.12% |
14.84% |
13.80% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Redcar |
41.85% |
13.58% |
19.94% |
19.18% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Washington & Sunderland West |
56.80% |
18.19% |
6.38% |
12.32% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Newcastle upon Tyne Central |
49.12% |
15.93% |
8.89% |
7.92% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stockton North |
46.33% |
21.60% |
5.99% |
14.30% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Middlesbrough South & Cleveland East |
43.10% |
30.13% |
6.02% |
15.01% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Darlington |
46.91% |
28.88% |
9.63% |
11.13% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Easington |
60.75% |
10.89% |
5.70% |
16.17% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Middlesbrough |
51.11% |
4.10% |
2.89% |
33.48% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bishop Auckland |
46.05% |
23.91% |
9.12% |
10.80% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hexham |
27.10% |
47.52% |
14.75% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Houghton & Sunderland South |
55.03% |
18.04% |
5.25% |
9.87% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Blyth Valley |
50.71% |
14.59% |
10.70% |
16.52% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sunderland Central |
51.82% |
26.14% |
6.60% |
9.76% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Jarrow |
64.97% |
19.15% |
7.68% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Durham North |
56.75% |
18.20% |
8.16% |
12.37% |
Labour |
Labour |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in Scotland:
| Constituency |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
Labour |
Conservative |
UKIP |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Fife North East |
13.05% |
33.98% |
12.81% |
23.69% |
15.77% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill |
2.44% |
39.63% |
48.85% |
8.66% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dunbartonshire West |
2.05% |
41.34% |
39.31% |
7.17% |
8.49% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Angus |
2.06% |
61.61% |
8.36% |
21.89% |
6.05% |
SNP |
SNP |
| Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath |
2.55% |
31.91% |
44.91% |
9.43% |
9.47% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dundee West |
2.76% |
56.82% |
29.75% |
8.34% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Aberdeen South |
8.90% |
30.26% |
29.09% |
24.04% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Banff & Buchan |
2.24% |
66.24% |
7.01% |
22.47% |
0.00% |
SNP |
SNP |
| Kilmarnock & Loudoun |
1.80% |
51.88% |
32.76% |
12.87% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Edinburgh South |
11.14% |
20.41% |
28.88% |
26.15% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Linlithgow & Falkirk East |
3.26% |
52.63% |
32.17% |
11.24% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale |
5.29% |
23.46% |
19.63% |
37.66% |
7.73% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Perth & North Perthshire |
2.48% |
64.84% |
8.38% |
22.73% |
0.00% |
SNP |
SNP |
| Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine |
11.46% |
38.06% |
10.32% |
33.40% |
5.45% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Glenrothes |
1.95% |
44.90% |
40.18% |
6.78% |
5.55% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Inverclyde |
0.48% |
57.73% |
29.33% |
7.87% |
4.58% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Stirling |
3.60% |
34.91% |
26.31% |
22.07% |
4.36% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk |
15.24% |
25.09% |
8.70% |
42.00% |
8.49% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Dundee East |
2.06% |
60.16% |
16.54% |
11.01% |
4.32% |
SNP |
SNP |
| Glasgow South West |
2.58% |
38.04% |
45.39% |
6.94% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dunbartonshire East |
13.17% |
29.20% |
29.49% |
19.52% |
8.05% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Ross, Skye & Lochaber |
15.03% |
35.12% |
10.96% |
12.92% |
11.24% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Gordon |
9.62% |
48.26% |
13.64% |
18.46% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Falkirk |
2.19% |
52.56% |
24.76% |
8.86% |
11.22% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Paisley & Renfrewshire South |
2.65% |
40.87% |
42.04% |
10.23% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock |
2.51% |
39.62% |
32.30% |
25.51% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Rutherglen & Hamilton West |
3.27% |
35.71% |
42.05% |
9.74% |
8.15% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Moray |
2.71% |
60.25% |
8.09% |
17.98% |
10.27% |
SNP |
SNP |
| Midlothian |
4.23% |
41.54% |
29.50% |
10.87% |
4.77% |
Labour |
SNP |
| East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow |
2.37% |
44.83% |
31.26% |
11.48% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Lanark & Hamilton East |
2.82% |
42.70% |
31.67% |
13.86% |
6.87% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East |
2.47% |
50.29% |
37.71% |
7.95% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Ayrshire Central |
3.24% |
42.21% |
32.97% |
20.52% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Edinburgh North & Leith |
10.73% |
24.90% |
30.16% |
17.55% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Motherwell & Wishaw |
2.75% |
41.36% |
43.42% |
9.69% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Glasgow Central |
4.08% |
35.50% |
32.88% |
6.50% |
4.17% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Livingston |
2.65% |
50.49% |
29.42% |
9.53% |
4.60% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Airdrie & Shotts |
2.09% |
49.73% |
38.31% |
8.39% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Edinburgh East |
4.42% |
37.74% |
25.06% |
9.19% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Dumfries & Galloway |
2.37% |
26.94% |
31.34% |
31.48% |
7.46% |
Labour |
Conservative |
| Aberdeen North |
5.05% |
49.28% |
30.69% |
12.47% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Paisley & Renfrewshire North |
2.86% |
42.21% |
37.30% |
14.70% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Edinburgh South West |
5.04% |
27.68% |
30.39% |
25.09% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dunfermline & Fife West |
11.99% |
29.56% |
40.13% |
8.54% |
9.20% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross |
13.07% |
49.31% |
19.74% |
15.21% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey |
11.08% |
41.41% |
15.26% |
13.42% |
6.90% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Renfrewshire East |
2.70% |
21.12% |
37.75% |
32.97% |
4.43% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Glasgow South |
2.90% |
40.20% |
32.18% |
10.39% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Edinburgh West |
11.92% |
35.58% |
23.38% |
28.48% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Glasgow North West |
4.22% |
33.18% |
36.65% |
9.83% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) |
1.42% |
70.64% |
15.85% |
3.09% |
0.00% |
SNP |
SNP |
| East Lothian |
4.30% |
33.28% |
28.86% |
18.54% |
5.91% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Glasgow North |
9.21% |
28.50% |
33.19% |
7.67% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ayrshire North & Arran |
2.49% |
52.36% |
29.83% |
14.35% |
0.00% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Glasgow North East |
2.28% |
34.18% |
51.54% |
5.86% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Argyll & Bute |
8.54% |
41.67% |
15.59% |
24.03% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
SNP |
| Orkney & Shetland |
17.51% |
24.27% |
7.64% |
10.98% |
37.14% |
Liberal Democrat |
UKIP |
| Ochil & South Perthshire |
2.46% |
48.52% |
20.76% |
16.36% |
6.13% |
Labour |
SNP |
| Glasgow East |
1.23% |
49.18% |
38.16% |
4.08% |
3.30% |
Labour |
SNP |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in South East:
| Constituency |
Conservative |
Liberal Democrat |
UKIP |
Labour |
Speaker |
Green |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Gillingham & Rainham |
40.02% |
7.04% |
12.23% |
31.11% |
0.00% |
5.18% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Surrey South West |
56.77% |
13.09% |
10.94% |
7.50% |
0.00% |
9.17% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Sittingbourne & Sheppey |
42.41% |
6.21% |
19.85% |
27.02% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| New Forest East |
44.74% |
11.48% |
18.57% |
10.80% |
0.00% |
13.63% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Eastbourne |
48.01% |
25.01% |
12.87% |
7.33% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Hampshire East |
59.09% |
14.22% |
13.06% |
10.65% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Rochester & Strood |
12.65% |
0.14% |
66.72% |
7.91% |
0.00% |
12.07% |
UKIP |
UKIP |
| Milton Keynes North |
37.01% |
8.43% |
12.21% |
29.67% |
0.00% |
9.11% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Milton Keynes South |
33.77% |
6.43% |
13.26% |
33.95% |
0.00% |
8.92% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| New Forest West |
46.69% |
8.29% |
20.25% |
10.11% |
0.00% |
13.90% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Buckingham |
0.00% |
0.00% |
46.48% |
0.00% |
29.01% |
0.00% |
Speaker |
UKIP |
| Oxford East |
15.77% |
12.62% |
8.49% |
46.18% |
0.00% |
15.78% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Chesham & Amersham |
54.91% |
11.62% |
16.10% |
6.63% |
0.00% |
10.46% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Runnymede & Weybridge |
44.64% |
7.74% |
22.75% |
13.88% |
0.00% |
9.08% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Esher & Walton |
58.18% |
10.99% |
14.07% |
13.70% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Arundel & South Downs |
54.36% |
11.79% |
23.25% |
10.56% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Chichester |
49.76% |
11.04% |
26.74% |
12.21% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Brighton Pavilion |
7.34% |
1.92% |
2.47% |
11.64% |
0.00% |
76.41% |
Green |
Green |
| Brighton Kemptown |
25.46% |
5.41% |
9.47% |
30.36% |
0.00% |
28.78% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Reading East |
36.81% |
10.60% |
8.19% |
28.61% |
0.00% |
14.55% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bexhill & Battle |
57.73% |
14.04% |
0.00% |
17.38% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Witney |
43.72% |
6.48% |
11.23% |
12.55% |
0.00% |
24.14% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Sussex Mid |
51.18% |
16.95% |
11.21% |
8.65% |
0.00% |
9.16% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Faversham & Kent Mid |
46.66% |
7.30% |
13.35% |
17.88% |
0.00% |
12.44% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Sevenoaks |
53.59% |
9.04% |
14.83% |
16.21% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bognor Regis & Littlehampton |
45.21% |
9.28% |
24.84% |
16.03% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Newbury |
58.33% |
16.46% |
11.35% |
5.74% |
0.00% |
6.80% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Woking |
52.46% |
17.49% |
17.20% |
10.89% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Windsor |
54.37% |
8.98% |
12.67% |
11.49% |
0.00% |
8.90% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Winchester |
56.39% |
22.44% |
10.31% |
8.23% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Folkestone & Hythe |
44.42% |
12.19% |
18.09% |
12.63% |
0.00% |
8.52% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Tonbridge & Malling |
50.12% |
8.73% |
14.05% |
14.18% |
0.00% |
10.13% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Crawley |
36.98% |
5.34% |
10.48% |
34.63% |
0.00% |
8.18% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Maidenhead |
58.56% |
12.47% |
9.94% |
9.04% |
0.00% |
6.95% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hampshire North East |
58.52% |
11.03% |
17.60% |
12.26% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Portsmouth North |
37.00% |
7.54% |
14.97% |
30.12% |
0.00% |
6.87% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Aylesbury |
47.02% |
11.49% |
26.71% |
14.74% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Southampton Test |
25.92% |
7.86% |
13.37% |
39.23% |
0.00% |
12.31% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Oxford West & Abingdon |
40.57% |
18.06% |
11.23% |
13.22% |
0.00% |
15.80% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Worthing West |
41.86% |
10.11% |
20.99% |
12.40% |
0.00% |
12.90% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Meon Valley |
59.33% |
15.41% |
13.37% |
8.73% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Guildford |
61.53% |
20.34% |
9.25% |
7.58% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Gravesham |
37.86% |
4.65% |
16.28% |
29.22% |
0.00% |
8.75% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wycombe |
46.02% |
12.21% |
18.19% |
21.24% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Fareham |
47.83% |
9.24% |
15.52% |
15.96% |
0.00% |
9.91% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Maidstone & The Weald |
45.91% |
15.42% |
13.95% |
12.10% |
0.00% |
10.07% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Mole Valley |
49.87% |
11.16% |
19.14% |
7.88% |
0.00% |
11.23% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hastings & Rye |
36.39% |
6.24% |
10.83% |
42.65% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Spelthorne |
39.01% |
9.62% |
30.63% |
17.72% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Havant |
45.08% |
9.25% |
22.87% |
20.29% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Aldershot |
46.70% |
15.42% |
19.60% |
15.70% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Surrey East |
50.25% |
10.27% |
26.64% |
10.36% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Slough |
27.31% |
5.20% |
11.04% |
47.44% |
0.00% |
7.12% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hove |
25.92% |
7.14% |
7.45% |
30.22% |
0.00% |
28.62% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Tunbridge Wells |
48.08% |
9.69% |
15.21% |
12.02% |
0.00% |
12.21% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Basingstoke |
47.45% |
10.32% |
16.78% |
24.86% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wokingham |
49.33% |
11.74% |
12.45% |
12.29% |
0.00% |
7.65% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Horsham |
48.21% |
13.20% |
20.27% |
8.90% |
0.00% |
7.34% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Lewes |
38.52% |
24.45% |
15.77% |
6.82% |
0.00% |
12.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Wantage |
44.38% |
10.69% |
16.00% |
15.46% |
0.00% |
12.45% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Reigate |
44.76% |
9.85% |
15.28% |
12.35% |
0.00% |
14.34% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Dartford |
42.96% |
5.80% |
14.12% |
31.52% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bracknell |
44.11% |
8.41% |
16.17% |
18.35% |
0.00% |
10.42% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hampshire North West |
53.52% |
9.65% |
20.66% |
15.61% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Ashford |
45.00% |
8.49% |
16.47% |
18.00% |
0.00% |
12.01% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Beaconsfield |
51.06% |
7.33% |
18.04% |
12.69% |
0.00% |
9.62% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Romsey & Southampton North |
55.84% |
20.76% |
12.89% |
9.28% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Chatham & Aylesford |
38.65% |
5.00% |
10.95% |
35.13% |
0.00% |
5.95% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wealden |
44.29% |
8.89% |
20.62% |
9.74% |
0.00% |
15.50% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Southampton Itchen |
29.13% |
7.49% |
15.18% |
38.28% |
0.00% |
8.52% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Worthing East & Shoreham |
37.52% |
8.86% |
20.81% |
16.80% |
0.00% |
14.17% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Banbury |
42.90% |
7.43% |
17.67% |
20.20% |
0.00% |
10.90% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Portsmouth South |
33.42% |
20.66% |
9.30% |
17.84% |
0.00% |
13.72% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Surrey Heath |
51.85% |
10.42% |
24.77% |
11.93% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Thanet North |
44.24% |
7.30% |
23.82% |
23.40% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Reading West |
36.46% |
7.60% |
11.68% |
33.49% |
0.00% |
8.13% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Canterbury |
38.60% |
12.56% |
14.55% |
18.05% |
0.00% |
15.65% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Epsom & Ewell |
53.55% |
11.46% |
19.28% |
14.73% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Isle of Wight |
43.28% |
13.18% |
14.00% |
13.99% |
0.00% |
9.66% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Gosport |
45.45% |
8.29% |
12.20% |
19.29% |
0.00% |
8.43% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Henley |
47.31% |
9.50% |
12.47% |
11.93% |
0.00% |
16.44% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Dover |
38.68% |
6.23% |
13.29% |
38.28% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Thanet South |
39.68% |
5.60% |
19.85% |
33.72% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Eastleigh |
14.15% |
8.02% |
67.62% |
7.11% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
UKIP |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in London:
| Constituency |
Conservative |
Labour |
Liberal Democrat |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Chipping Barnet |
44.26% |
28.05% |
8.84% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bethnal Green & Bow |
13.51% |
51.01% |
9.43% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Edmonton |
24.94% |
54.94% |
4.25% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Lewisham Deptford |
12.03% |
58.80% |
10.10% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Battersea |
44.50% |
40.42% |
6.68% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hornsey & Wood Green |
18.95% |
47.38% |
25.56% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| East Ham |
13.52% |
76.85% |
5.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Mitcham & Morden |
21.59% |
59.15% |
4.91% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hammersmith |
33.27% |
49.15% |
7.05% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Twickenham |
41.37% |
11.42% |
31.94% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Hackney South & Shoreditch |
11.92% |
60.17% |
9.54% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Poplar & Limehouse |
24.26% |
43.90% |
4.83% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Harrow West |
32.68% |
47.46% |
6.94% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ealing North |
27.41% |
54.82% |
5.66% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Walthamstow |
12.77% |
58.02% |
12.68% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Beckenham |
53.63% |
16.41% |
9.22% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hackney North & Stoke Newington |
13.45% |
62.31% |
10.67% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ilford North |
41.03% |
37.65% |
5.50% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hornchurch & Upminster |
42.36% |
20.97% |
5.54% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Lewisham East |
22.28% |
49.80% |
12.85% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Chingford & Woodford Green |
48.00% |
25.30% |
7.39% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hendon |
37.19% |
45.33% |
5.25% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Kensington |
46.04% |
28.79% |
8.70% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Enfield Southgate |
45.93% |
36.71% |
6.20% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Tooting |
34.95% |
48.36% |
6.50% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Harrow East |
39.92% |
41.15% |
6.17% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Croydon South |
44.82% |
21.61% |
9.72% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Old Bexley & Sidcup |
48.10% |
20.99% |
6.61% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Leyton & Wanstead |
20.28% |
48.73% |
12.18% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ealing Southall |
27.78% |
58.89% |
6.73% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Holborn & St Pancras |
19.34% |
53.65% |
12.82% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Carshalton & Wallington |
40.75% |
11.85% |
25.83% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Bexleyheath & Crayford |
43.65% |
28.10% |
5.33% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Greenwich & Woolwich |
22.99% |
56.46% |
8.24% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dulwich & West Norwood |
20.71% |
53.35% |
12.27% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Chelsea & Fulham |
58.27% |
21.84% |
7.57% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Barking |
14.66% |
54.80% |
3.26% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bromley & Chislehurst |
49.47% |
18.76% |
9.81% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Brentford & Isleworth |
35.66% |
39.42% |
10.95% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Camberwell & Peckham |
12.19% |
67.88% |
10.11% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Cities of London & Westminster |
49.46% |
25.76% |
9.40% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Streatham |
19.20% |
54.97% |
18.16% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Richmond Park |
57.84% |
7.17% |
24.08% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Sutton & Cheam |
48.16% |
9.70% |
25.11% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Feltham & Heston |
20.62% |
49.62% |
2.11% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Islington South & Finsbury |
19.05% |
50.85% |
16.17% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner |
52.24% |
21.74% |
7.30% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Enfield North |
37.32% |
41.61% |
5.18% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Hampstead & Kilburn |
33.64% |
41.33% |
15.52% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Lewisham West & Penge |
23.44% |
46.25% |
12.50% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Brent Central |
12.54% |
56.66% |
23.97% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Putney |
49.44% |
31.88% |
7.78% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Islington North |
12.87% |
60.38% |
11.65% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dagenham & Rainham |
28.38% |
40.80% |
3.44% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wimbledon |
47.54% |
26.43% |
11.71% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Uxbridge & Ruislip South |
44.20% |
26.24% |
8.83% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bermondsey & Old Southwark |
20.24% |
42.42% |
27.67% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Croydon Central |
35.32% |
36.91% |
5.72% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Tottenham |
13.03% |
63.52% |
7.48% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Orpington |
57.82% |
10.68% |
11.49% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Croydon North |
11.91% |
56.05% |
1.20% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ealing Central & Acton |
37.25% |
36.20% |
13.09% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Finchley & Golders Green |
42.28% |
37.93% |
7.57% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Westminster North |
35.16% |
49.09% |
6.15% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Brent North |
29.40% |
53.56% |
7.65% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Erith & Thamesmead |
26.93% |
47.08% |
4.98% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hayes & Harlington |
26.72% |
60.97% |
3.83% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Romford |
47.13% |
20.14% |
4.88% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Vauxhall |
21.03% |
59.56% |
11.86% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Kingston & Surbiton |
41.15% |
12.90% |
27.11% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| West Ham |
12.36% |
64.69% |
4.68% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ilford South |
23.58% |
52.16% |
7.06% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Eltham |
32.67% |
44.26% |
5.31% |
Labour |
Labour |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in North West:
| Constituency |
Labour |
Conservative |
Liberal Democrat |
UKIP |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Rochdale |
43.54% |
16.67% |
14.23% |
17.50% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Penrith & The Border |
16.98% |
53.94% |
12.89% |
12.30% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Manchester Withington |
49.63% |
10.50% |
18.92% |
6.38% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Worsley & Eccles South |
45.58% |
26.59% |
6.05% |
17.42% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bolton South East |
47.29% |
19.68% |
5.47% |
13.22% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Pendle |
36.15% |
35.01% |
8.15% |
12.86% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Copeland |
48.60% |
30.14% |
3.72% |
8.23% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Morecambe & Lunesdale |
39.73% |
32.14% |
4.63% |
14.32% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Barrow & Furness |
50.43% |
29.31% |
3.63% |
6.71% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Liverpool Wavertree |
58.95% |
6.38% |
13.11% |
8.75% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sefton Central |
46.54% |
29.02% |
7.64% |
15.81% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wythenshawe & Sale East |
36.65% |
7.40% |
1.12% |
39.92% |
Labour |
UKIP |
| St Helens North |
55.26% |
18.36% |
7.45% |
16.91% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Blackley & Broughton |
59.38% |
15.42% |
5.37% |
9.60% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Weaver Vale |
40.76% |
33.34% |
7.23% |
8.73% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Warrington North |
56.83% |
29.04% |
8.96% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wallasey |
56.40% |
26.31% |
5.14% |
10.57% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stalybridge & Hyde |
40.49% |
25.90% |
6.01% |
11.27% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Halton |
56.93% |
15.33% |
4.71% |
9.84% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Oldham East & Saddleworth |
43.56% |
10.21% |
11.41% |
20.16% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wigan |
49.42% |
19.41% |
5.42% |
19.50% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Denton & Reddish |
53.23% |
19.99% |
6.44% |
19.18% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Rossendale & Darwen |
37.11% |
37.02% |
7.20% |
13.25% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Wirral West |
42.36% |
38.18% |
6.78% |
8.95% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| St Helens South & Whiston |
60.11% |
15.60% |
8.73% |
10.15% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Stockport |
46.12% |
21.08% |
9.33% |
7.99% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Crewe & Nantwich |
39.48% |
40.99% |
6.01% |
10.79% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Garston & Halewood |
64.68% |
13.50% |
7.55% |
13.12% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Makerfield |
56.66% |
17.30% |
6.69% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Fylde |
21.43% |
43.68% |
8.27% |
16.23% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Wirral South |
45.85% |
34.15% |
6.43% |
12.05% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wyre & Preston North |
24.69% |
46.75% |
8.60% |
18.70% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Salford & Eccles |
47.83% |
18.79% |
10.84% |
10.45% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ribble Valley |
24.10% |
42.34% |
7.75% |
24.54% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Manchester Central |
56.63% |
2.86% |
2.67% |
12.38% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Oldham West & Royton |
50.83% |
20.37% |
7.37% |
12.14% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Eddisbury |
25.72% |
47.47% |
9.26% |
17.03% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Warrington South |
38.50% |
32.19% |
11.09% |
11.61% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Knowsley |
74.34% |
7.24% |
4.84% |
9.03% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Congleton |
21.88% |
44.79% |
13.98% |
18.03% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Blackburn |
54.41% |
22.91% |
5.97% |
7.91% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Lancashire West |
46.51% |
28.71% |
4.82% |
12.67% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Blackpool South |
45.17% |
30.33% |
5.49% |
14.19% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ashton Under Lyne |
51.52% |
20.28% |
5.45% |
15.68% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Carlisle |
39.98% |
32.46% |
5.76% |
8.27% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Heywood & Middleton |
20.38% |
4.72% |
0.88% |
64.79% |
Labour |
UKIP |
| Blackpool North & Cleveleys |
40.16% |
35.41% |
5.05% |
15.10% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Bury South |
44.88% |
28.73% |
6.99% |
7.86% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Chorley |
47.06% |
31.88% |
5.25% |
14.84% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bootle |
65.07% |
6.72% |
5.12% |
20.03% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bolton West |
40.47% |
31.01% |
6.23% |
14.10% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Lancaster & Fleetwood |
32.82% |
25.84% |
6.14% |
7.46% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Chester, City of |
38.89% |
34.66% |
7.31% |
9.75% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Hazel Grove |
17.08% |
35.46% |
23.08% |
23.53% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Liverpool Riverside |
56.49% |
8.02% |
7.48% |
5.56% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Workington |
50.92% |
29.17% |
5.23% |
8.38% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ellesmere Port & Neston |
49.08% |
29.51% |
5.72% |
13.51% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Altrincham & Sale West |
28.18% |
47.39% |
11.06% |
13.36% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Stretford & Urmston |
47.85% |
21.76% |
5.75% |
11.10% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Southport |
12.98% |
38.10% |
23.64% |
23.84% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Liverpool West Derby |
66.61% |
7.40% |
4.49% |
10.65% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bolton North East |
49.32% |
30.18% |
4.82% |
15.13% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Leigh |
52.84% |
17.74% |
6.90% |
12.79% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hyndburn |
42.07% |
26.69% |
4.17% |
11.93% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Tatton |
23.63% |
57.57% |
10.66% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Manchester Gorton |
55.49% |
9.39% |
12.47% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Westmorland & Lonsdale |
3.94% |
48.81% |
36.29% |
9.15% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Liverpool Walton |
75.24% |
5.25% |
5.14% |
9.18% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Macclesfield |
22.75% |
40.52% |
8.92% |
10.66% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| South Ribble |
38.71% |
39.09% |
5.45% |
13.80% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bury North |
40.97% |
36.02% |
6.83% |
11.14% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Preston |
53.15% |
18.44% |
9.29% |
16.65% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Burnley |
41.03% |
16.74% |
16.13% |
9.76% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Cheadle |
14.10% |
47.33% |
24.46% |
13.76% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Birkenhead |
74.75% |
17.43% |
7.66% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in Yorkshire and the Humber:
| Constituency |
Labour |
Conservative |
UKIP |
Liberal Democrat |
Respect |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Penistone & Stocksbridge |
42.48% |
27.03% |
15.72% |
8.18% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Leeds West |
38.29% |
13.75% |
8.94% |
7.56% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Brigg & Goole |
37.12% |
38.71% |
15.00% |
5.66% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Rotherham |
32.00% |
2.86% |
50.11% |
0.50% |
4.94% |
Labour |
UKIP |
| Huddersfield |
39.61% |
21.83% |
0.00% |
8.72% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Morley & Outwood |
42.75% |
30.95% |
11.77% |
6.58% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Richmond (Yorks) |
17.30% |
54.85% |
0.00% |
7.48% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Bradford East |
46.17% |
29.10% |
0.00% |
16.38% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Wentworth & Dearne |
48.31% |
12.91% |
26.01% |
5.31% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Leeds North West |
29.03% |
28.28% |
6.40% |
22.67% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Scunthorpe |
40.63% |
25.84% |
15.71% |
6.49% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Leeds North East |
50.81% |
30.36% |
7.08% |
8.05% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Halifax |
45.20% |
31.66% |
6.10% |
7.99% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bradford West |
24.36% |
6.28% |
10.82% |
1.54% |
47.17% |
Respect |
Respect |
| Sheffield Hallam |
21.55% |
24.28% |
10.51% |
24.71% |
0.00% |
Liberal Democrat |
Liberal Democrat |
| Colne Valley |
30.85% |
33.29% |
8.26% |
11.39% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Skipton & Ripon |
13.27% |
51.45% |
15.47% |
14.78% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Normanton, Pontefract & Castleford |
58.11% |
22.71% |
0.00% |
6.83% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bradford South |
46.48% |
25.25% |
13.32% |
7.11% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dewsbury |
36.89% |
30.90% |
0.00% |
6.71% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Harrogate & Knaresborough |
9.78% |
53.62% |
10.16% |
23.01% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Calder Valley |
30.73% |
34.56% |
8.67% |
9.90% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Sheffield South East |
53.10% |
14.60% |
16.70% |
8.78% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Scarborough & Whitby |
29.13% |
36.48% |
11.18% |
8.60% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hemsworth |
55.42% |
22.19% |
0.00% |
5.29% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough |
58.62% |
9.42% |
14.68% |
7.35% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hull West & Hessle |
46.17% |
16.90% |
19.56% |
9.10% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| York Outer |
23.67% |
45.86% |
9.60% |
17.25% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Sheffield Central |
43.83% |
8.28% |
5.60% |
14.99% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| York Central |
39.14% |
19.67% |
7.78% |
8.51% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Elmet & Rothwell |
40.08% |
38.12% |
11.13% |
6.55% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Wakefield |
43.02% |
30.07% |
0.00% |
6.17% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Beverley & Holderness |
23.84% |
40.99% |
13.16% |
8.86% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Leeds Central |
60.68% |
19.12% |
0.00% |
8.85% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Doncaster North |
50.16% |
17.17% |
15.41% |
5.44% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Hull North |
43.71% |
11.26% |
15.28% |
14.35% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Keighley |
40.68% |
36.72% |
11.76% |
5.81% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Cleethorpes |
34.12% |
33.99% |
24.99% |
6.59% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Great Grimsby |
35.34% |
25.41% |
22.49% |
8.36% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Doncaster Central |
45.38% |
21.81% |
13.07% |
8.32% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Leeds East |
60.85% |
21.55% |
0.00% |
7.29% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Shipley |
31.00% |
40.76% |
0.00% |
7.53% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Pudsey |
41.87% |
35.35% |
9.97% |
8.58% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Batley & Spen |
48.50% |
29.72% |
0.00% |
6.29% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Sheffield Heeley |
43.10% |
13.50% |
12.72% |
9.92% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Haltemprice & Howden |
20.14% |
49.77% |
0.00% |
11.74% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Don Valley |
41.58% |
25.03% |
16.13% |
6.47% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Barnsley Central |
49.77% |
5.20% |
33.51% |
1.18% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Rother Valley |
43.04% |
22.99% |
19.72% |
6.30% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Selby & Ainsty |
30.32% |
44.89% |
12.52% |
7.23% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Hull East |
47.75% |
12.72% |
26.86% |
7.84% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Thirsk & Malton |
15.25% |
45.83% |
24.79% |
9.05% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Barnsley East |
50.50% |
13.63% |
16.25% |
6.73% |
0.00% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Yorkshire East |
21.83% |
39.31% |
15.09% |
7.86% |
0.00% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in Northern Ireland:
| Constituency |
DUP |
SDLP |
Sinn Fein |
Sylvia Hermon |
Alliance Party |
UUP |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Belfast North |
40.58% |
13.62% |
31.79% |
0.00% |
4.97% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Down South |
8.32% |
51.57% |
25.76% |
0.00% |
1.28% |
0.00% |
SDLP |
SDLP |
| Lagan Valley |
49.19% |
5.42% |
3.65% |
0.00% |
11.32% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Antrim South |
33.95% |
9.51% |
12.83% |
0.00% |
7.70% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Belfast West |
6.32% |
15.33% |
67.86% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
1.79% |
Sinn Fein |
Sinn Fein |
| Strangford |
44.95% |
7.13% |
3.22% |
0.00% |
8.54% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Upper Bann |
33.57% |
13.84% |
22.63% |
0.00% |
2.96% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Londonderry East |
34.23% |
16.71% |
17.59% |
0.00% |
5.46% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Foyle |
11.57% |
47.71% |
28.74% |
0.00% |
0.58% |
0.00% |
SDLP |
SDLP |
| Belfast South |
22.76% |
43.11% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
14.42% |
0.00% |
SDLP |
SDLP |
| Newry & Armagh |
12.84% |
25.66% |
38.74% |
0.00% |
1.22% |
0.00% |
Sinn Fein |
Sinn Fein |
| Ulster Mid |
0.00% |
19.34% |
43.93% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Sinn Fein |
Sinn Fein |
| Down North |
0.00% |
2.20% |
0.68% |
62.81% |
5.56% |
0.00% |
Sylvia Hermon |
Sylvia Hermon |
| Tyrone West |
19.93% |
15.42% |
45.02% |
0.00% |
2.33% |
0.00% |
Sinn Fein |
Sinn Fein |
| Antrim East |
45.75% |
7.22% |
6.22% |
0.00% |
11.08% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Antrim North |
46.40% |
9.64% |
11.45% |
0.00% |
3.24% |
0.00% |
DUP |
DUP |
| Belfast East |
32.70% |
1.15% |
2.18% |
0.00% |
37.26% |
0.00% |
Alliance Party |
Alliance Party |
| Fermanagh & South Tyrone |
0.00% |
8.45% |
42.48% |
0.00% |
0.95% |
47.17% |
Sinn Fein |
UUP |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results by in Wales:
| Constituency |
Labour |
Conservative |
Plaid Cymru |
Liberal Democrat |
2010 Result |
2015 Prediction |
| Neath |
49.87% |
11.14% |
18.91% |
6.06% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Aberavon |
57.89% |
12.57% |
6.97% |
6.84% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Vale of Glamorgan |
33.96% |
34.09% |
4.97% |
5.91% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Carmarthen West & Pembrokeshire South |
35.80% |
35.65% |
10.08% |
4.99% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Clwyd South |
43.15% |
26.87% |
8.58% |
7.29% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Cardiff North |
40.30% |
32.23% |
3.19% |
7.50% |
Conservative |
Labour |
| Gower |
44.91% |
29.58% |
6.81% |
8.40% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Wrexham |
42.80% |
23.32% |
6.29% |
11.28% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Alyn & Deeside |
44.73% |
28.85% |
3.86% |
7.80% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Llanelli |
44.21% |
11.83% |
27.43% |
4.09% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Delyn |
46.40% |
31.18% |
4.99% |
6.67% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney |
50.51% |
6.88% |
5.15% |
13.53% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Vale of Clwyd |
47.19% |
31.10% |
5.72% |
5.30% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Pontypridd |
41.74% |
13.78% |
6.91% |
12.66% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Carmarthen East & Dinefwr |
28.22% |
18.87% |
33.43% |
4.87% |
Plaid Cymru |
Plaid Cymru |
| Ynys Mon |
33.82% |
18.03% |
23.39% |
2.88% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Clwyd West |
28.40% |
37.79% |
15.58% |
6.60% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Swansea West |
39.37% |
18.70% |
4.04% |
14.24% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ceredigion |
7.07% |
11.20% |
30.47% |
23.10% |
Liberal Democrat |
Plaid Cymru |
| Caerphilly |
48.82% |
14.72% |
15.98% |
6.03% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Ogmore |
57.55% |
13.18% |
9.04% |
6.12% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Cynon Valley |
53.93% |
8.19% |
18.36% |
5.34% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Aberconwy |
28.95% |
33.52% |
18.55% |
8.61% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Blaenau Gwent |
56.07% |
5.92% |
3.87% |
4.09% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Preseli Pembrokeshire |
35.13% |
38.16% |
9.16% |
6.18% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Torfaen |
45.37% |
16.07% |
4.75% |
6.36% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Arfon |
33.32% |
14.68% |
34.72% |
5.81% |
Plaid Cymru |
Plaid Cymru |
| Newport West |
41.94% |
26.01% |
2.53% |
6.36% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Cardiff Central |
33.80% |
20.05% |
3.56% |
18.35% |
Liberal Democrat |
Labour |
| Monmouth |
27.87% |
41.14% |
2.59% |
7.88% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Cardiff West |
40.75% |
23.18% |
6.09% |
6.54% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Brecon & Radnorshire |
14.01% |
38.38% |
2.98% |
23.13% |
Liberal Democrat |
Conservative |
| Rhondda |
59.07% |
5.42% |
17.04% |
4.29% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Swansea East |
52.02% |
11.80% |
5.94% |
6.97% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Cardiff South & Penarth |
36.39% |
12.09% |
6.46% |
3.14% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Bridgend |
42.76% |
28.33% |
6.13% |
10.02% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Dwyfor Meirionnydd |
15.37% |
19.50% |
43.13% |
5.10% |
Plaid Cymru |
Plaid Cymru |
| Newport East |
45.49% |
22.36% |
2.27% |
14.93% |
Labour |
Labour |
| Montgomeryshire |
9.18% |
42.20% |
9.41% |
18.41% |
Conservative |
Conservative |
| Islwyn |
50.95% |
11.46% |
11.87% |
4.05% |
Labour |
Labour |
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