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| Voting Intention of the Scottish Electorate for UK 2015 General Election |
The chart is made from 224 polls with a cumulative sample count of 70051.
Individual points are poll results. Poll results are centred on the midway point of a poll, so if poll was taken from the 11th to the 13th it will be placed at the 12th. Point size is a rough indicator of the sample count of the poll. The lines are an exponentially smoothed sample count weighted moving average. The Scottish part extracted from a UK wide poll with only 150 usable samples will have a lesser effect on the moving average than a poll of Scotland with 1000 samples.
UK overall Seat change predictions:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Alliance Party | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Conservative | 51 | 252 | 33 | 285 | -18 |
| DUP | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Green | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Labour | 41 | 217 | 61 | 278 | +20 |
| Liberal Democrat | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -57 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| Respect | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| SDLP | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| SNP | 0 | 6 | 45 | 51 | +45 |
| Sinn Fein | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
| Speaker | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Sylvia Hermon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| UKIP | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +8 |
| UUP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Scotland seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Labour | 37 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -37 |
| Liberal Democrat | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11 |
| SNP | 0 | 6 | 45 | 51 | +45 |
| UKIP | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
Predicted UK GE 2015 Constituency results in Scotland:
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrat | SNP | UKIP | 2010 Result | 2015 Prediction |
| Aberdeen North | 12.68% | 27.36% | 6.81% | 50.68% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Aberdeen South | 24.49% | 25.96% | 12.01% | 31.17% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine | 29.22% | 9.54% | 17.64% | 38.80% | 3.55% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Airdrie & Shotts | 8.03% | 37.76% | 1.98% | 50.71% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Angus | 22.16% | 7.42% | 2.76% | 63.04% | 4.60% | SNP | SNP |
| Argyll & Bute | 24.26% | 13.79% | 11.42% | 42.52% | 0.00% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock | 24.10% | 30.66% | 2.76% | 42.43% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Ayrshire Central | 21.07% | 29.66% | 4.41% | 43.80% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Ayrshire North & Arran | 14.69% | 26.77% | 3.38% | 54.20% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Banff & Buchan | 22.36% | 6.11% | 2.95% | 66.62% | 0.00% | SNP | SNP |
| Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk | 35.68% | 8.26% | 23.96% | 27.00% | 4.63% | Liberal Democrat | Conservative |
| Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross | 14.88% | 16.92% | 16.94% | 48.74% | 0.00% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill | 7.69% | 44.79% | 2.24% | 44.85% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East | 7.28% | 34.87% | 2.76% | 53.49% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Dumfries & Galloway | 34.60% | 22.25% | 4.69% | 34.48% | 3.55% | Labour | Conservative |
| Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale | 35.61% | 19.14% | 5.62% | 32.96% | 3.54% | Conservative | Conservative |
| Dunbartonshire East | 15.98% | 21.22% | 23.49% | 35.18% | 3.58% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Dunbartonshire West | 6.89% | 37.74% | 1.97% | 46.25% | 5.45% | Labour | SNP |
| Dundee East | 11.35% | 14.94% | 2.82% | 62.72% | 3.34% | SNP | SNP |
| Dundee West | 7.44% | 26.46% | 3.45% | 60.30% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Dunfermline & Fife West | 8.81% | 36.28% | 16.39% | 30.83% | 7.12% | Labour | Labour |
| East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow | 12.07% | 28.78% | 3.30% | 47.61% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| East Lothian | 19.60% | 26.72% | 6.02% | 35.55% | 4.69% | Labour | SNP |
| Edinburgh East | 9.85% | 23.53% | 6.27% | 40.88% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Edinburgh North & Leith | 17.45% | 27.16% | 9.47% | 33.80% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Edinburgh South | 23.00% | 28.04% | 11.21% | 29.55% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Edinburgh South West | 22.80% | 27.64% | 5.53% | 34.90% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Edinburgh West | 28.11% | 20.21% | 15.59% | 35.49% | 0.00% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Falkirk | 9.29% | 22.74% | 3.05% | 55.69% | 8.83% | Labour | SNP |
| Fife North East | 19.69% | 10.03% | 23.41% | 38.32% | 7.87% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Glasgow Central | 5.91% | 32.53% | 4.34% | 41.21% | 3.14% | Labour | SNP |
| Glasgow East | 4.12% | 35.85% | 1.35% | 51.31% | 3.28% | Labour | SNP |
| Glasgow North | 6.50% | 31.65% | 8.39% | 37.47% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Glasgow North East | 5.20% | 47.78% | 2.14% | 38.50% | 0.00% | Labour | Labour |
| Glasgow North West | 8.71% | 36.01% | 4.46% | 39.76% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Glasgow South | 10.09% | 31.73% | 3.06% | 45.95% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Glasgow South West | 5.70% | 37.15% | 2.35% | 47.83% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Glenrothes | 7.16% | 37.16% | 2.72% | 47.91% | 4.39% | Labour | SNP |
| Gordon | 14.96% | 13.17% | 19.67% | 46.60% | 0.00% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Inverclyde | 8.20% | 26.77% | 0.66% | 60.79% | 3.58% | Labour | SNP |
| Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey | 11.72% | 13.18% | 17.79% | 45.84% | 4.59% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Kilmarnock & Loudoun | 13.26% | 29.57% | 2.46% | 54.02% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath | 8.61% | 40.86% | 3.34% | 40.05% | 5.34% | Labour | Labour |
| Lanark & Hamilton East | 14.48% | 29.00% | 3.90% | 45.11% | 5.39% | Labour | SNP |
| Linlithgow & Falkirk East | 11.52% | 28.87% | 4.42% | 54.50% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Livingston | 9.87% | 26.72% | 3.64% | 52.89% | 3.58% | Labour | SNP |
| Midlothian | 11.42% | 27.16% | 5.88% | 44.11% | 3.76% | Labour | SNP |
| Moray | 18.36% | 7.24% | 3.66% | 62.18% | 7.87% | SNP | SNP |
| Motherwell & Wishaw | 7.64% | 39.78% | 2.42% | 47.33% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | 3.12% | 14.04% | 1.89% | 72.17% | 0.00% | SNP | SNP |
| Ochil & South Perthshire | 17.05% | 18.95% | 3.39% | 51.10% | 4.79% | Labour | SNP |
| Orkney & Shetland | 11.48% | 7.00% | 24.25% | 25.65% | 29.14% | Liberal Democrat | UKIP |
| Paisley & Renfrewshire North | 15.20% | 33.81% | 3.92% | 44.14% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Paisley & Renfrewshire South | 7.15% | 39.03% | 1.91% | 47.68% | 0.00% | Labour | SNP |
| Perth & North Perthshire | 22.63% | 7.31% | 3.27% | 65.27% | 0.00% | SNP | SNP |
| Renfrewshire East | 27.71% | 32.75% | 2.94% | 33.93% | 1.63% | Labour | SNP |
| Ross, Skye & Lochaber | 8.71% | 7.62% | 30.03% | 42.62% | 3.61% | Liberal Democrat | SNP |
| Rutherglen & Hamilton West | 10.35% | 39.13% | 4.60% | 38.32% | 6.49% | Labour | Labour |
| Stirling | 23.16% | 24.19% | 5.00% | 37.01% | 3.43% | Labour | SNP |
Wales seat change summary:
| Party | Seats Lost | Seats Held | Seats Won | Total Seats | Change |
| Conservative | 1 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Labour | 0 | 26 | 4 | 30 | +4 |
| Liberal Democrat | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
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